You can bet on NFL odds for the First Touchdown Scorer and Anytime Touchdown Scorer in the Browns-Steelers game this week.
Ahead of the Week 4 matchup on October 1, 2026 at Huntington Bank Field, here’s a compilation of odds, trends, and data for the First TD and Anytime TD Scorer markets at BetMGM.
First TD Scorer Odds & Picks: Browns – Steelers
Here are updated First TD odds and picks (percentage chances using implied probability of the odds):
| Player | First TD Odds | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren (PIT) | +333 | 23.1% |
| Quinshon Judkins (CLE) | +650 | 13.3% |
| D.K. Metcalf (PIT) | +900 | 10.0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr. (PIT) | +1250 | 7.4% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE) | +1250 | 7.4% |
| Deshaun Watson (CLE) | +1350 | 6.9% |
| Pat Freiermuth (PIT) | +1400 | 6.7% |
| Denzel Boston (CLE) | +1550 | 6.1% |
| Kevin Concepcion (CLE) | +1600 | 5.9% |
| Roman Wilson (PIT) | +1800 | 5.3% |
| Darnell Washington (PIT) | +2200 | 4.3% |
| Jerry Jeudy (CLE) | +3300 | 2.9% |
| Aaron Rodgers (PIT) | +5000 | 2.0% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin (CLE) | +6600 | 1.5% |
Anytime TD Scorer Odds & Picks: Browns – Steelers
Here are updated Anytime TD odds and picks (percentage chances using implied probability of the odds):
| Player | Anytime TD Odds | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren (PIT) | -118 | 54.1% |
| Quinshon Judkins (CLE) | +135 | 42.6% |
| D.K. Metcalf (PIT) | +230 | 30.3% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE) | +270 | 27.0% |
| Deshaun Watson (CLE) | +300 | 25.0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr. (PIT) | +325 | 23.5% |
| Denzel Boston (CLE) | +325 | 23.5% |
| Kevin Concepcion (CLE) | +350 | 22.2% |
| Pat Freiermuth (PIT) | +390 | 20.4% |
| Roman Wilson (PIT) | +475 | 17.4% |
| Darnell Washington (PIT) | +600 | 14.3% |
| Jerry Jeudy (CLE) | +775 | 11.4% |
| Aaron Rodgers (PIT) | +1550 | 6.1% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin (CLE) | +2000 | 4.8% |
| Malachi Corley (CLE) | +2800 | 3.4% |
Will Jaylen Warren Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 54.1% chance Warren scores a touchdown this week against the Browns.
Will Quinshon Judkins Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 42.6% chance Judkins scores a touchdown this week against the Steelers.
Will D.K. Metcalf Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 30.3% chance Metcalf scores a touchdown this week against the Browns.
Will Harold Fannin Jr. Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 27.0% chance Fannin scores a touchdown this week against the Steelers.
Will Deshaun Watson Score a TD This Week?
Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there’s a 25.0% chance Watson scores a touchdown this week against the Steelers.
First TD Scorer Trends
- Harold Fannin Jr. has scored the first touchdown five times since the beginning of the 2024 season – most among active Browns players.
- Rico Dowdle has scored the first touchdown five times since the beginning of the 2023 season – most among active Steelers players (including playoffs).
- D.K. Metcalf has scored the first touchdown 12 times in his career – most among active Steelers players (including playoffs).
- Deshaun Watson has scored the first touchdown seven times in his career – most among active Browns players (including playoffs).
- Aaron Rodgers has scored the first touchdown five times in his career – T2nd-most among active Steelers players (including playoffs).
- Michael Pittman Jr. has scored the first touchdown five times in his career – T2nd-most among active Steelers players (including playoffs).
- Jaleel McLaughlin has scored the first touchdown four times in his career – 3rd-most among active Browns players (including playoffs).
- Harold Fannin Jr. has scored the first touchdown in three of the Browns’ last four home games.
- Roman Wilson scored the first touchdown on a 38-yard pass from Aaron Rodgers in the Steelers’ last outing, a 30-27 win against the Bengals.
- Harold Fannin Jr. scored the first touchdown on a two-yard pass from Deshaun Watson in the Browns’ last outing, a 21-18 win against the Panthers.
- Harold Fannin Jr. scored the first touchdown on a 28-yard pass from Shedeur Sanders in the Browns’ last outing against the Steelers, a 13-6 win.
First Touchdown Insights
- The Browns have recorded the first touchdown in one of their three games this season [(including playoffs)].
- The Steelers have also recorded the first touchdown in one of their three games this season [(including playoffs)].
First TD trends
- The Browns have scored the first touchdown in each of their last three home games.
- The Browns have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games against the Steelers (including playoffs).
- The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in nine of their last 15 games against AFC opponents (including playoffs).
Rushing/Receiving Splits
- The Browns have scored zero rushing TDs from their three games this season , while allowing zero rushing TDs.
- The Browns have scored five passing TDs from their three games this season , while allowing six passing TDs.
- The Steelers have scored zero rushing TDs from their three games this season , while allowing one rushing TDs.
- The Steelers have scored four passing TDs from their three games this season , while allowing four passing TDs.
Visit the sportsbook to bet on all Browns odds and Steelers odds throughout the season.
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