Steelers vs Browns Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3 TNF

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Myles Garrett Cleveland Browns muscles
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 22, 2022, 10:20 AM
  • The (2-0) are point favorites vs the (2-0)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2) visit FirstEnergy Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns (2-1) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Cleveland.

The are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at ().

The Steelers vs. Browns Over/Under is total points for the game.

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Steelers vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns

Steelers vs. Browns Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Browns will win this Week 3 game with 57.0% confidence.

Steelers vs Browns Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread this Week 3 with 59.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Steelers and Browns, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Najee Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Chase Claypool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Diontae Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+3.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Diontae Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+2.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Chester Rogers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jacoby Brissett has hit the Completions Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jacoby Brissett has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Steelers

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Nick Chubb +400
    Kareem Hunt +600
    Najee Harris +750
    Diontae Johnson +900
    Pat Freiermuth +1000

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Steelers

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Nick Chubb -190
    Kareem Hunt -115
    Najee Harris +110
    Diontae Johnson +145
    Pat Freiermuth +160

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Browns vs Steelers

    Player Name Over Under
    Najee Harris 17.5 -115 17.5 -115
    Pat Freiermuth 35.5 -115 35.5 -115
    Chase Claypool 39.5 -110 39.5 -115
    Kareem Hunt 16.5 -110 16.5 -115
    Nick Chubb 7.5 -115 7.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Browns vs Steelers

    Player Name Over Under
    Mitchell Trubisky 12.5 -115 12.5 -110
    Jacoby Brissett 12.5 -110 12.5 -115
    Najee Harris 54.5 -110 54.5 -115
    Kareem Hunt 42.5 -115 42.5 -110
    Nick Chubb 84.5 -115 84.5 -115
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.10 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+6.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 1-0 (+1 Units / 45.45% ROI).

    • Steelers are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 82.5% ROI
    • Steelers are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
    • Steelers are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / ROI

    Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

    • Browns are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -43.06% ROI
    • Browns are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
    • Browns are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

    Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

    The Steelers are 3-4-1 (.375) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .172.

    The Steelers were undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run defenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .429.

    The Steelers were winless (0-4-1) when committing 2 or more turnovers last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .259.

    The Steelers are undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .437.

    Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

    The Browns were winless (0-4) when allowing 27 or more points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .198.

    The Browns are winless (0-5) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .172.

    The Browns were winless (0-6) when rushing for less than 100 yards last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .322.

    The Browns were winless (0-2) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .121.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns

    The Browns have a third down conversion rate of 53.3% this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Steelers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 53.1% this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

    The Browns had a third down conversion rate of 66.7% last week — best in NFL. The Steelers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 56.2% in Week 2 — fourth-worst in NFL.

    Browns RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 17.1% of 484 carries since the 2021 season — best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 10+ yards on 13.0% of carries to RBs since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL.

    The Steelers have run successful plays on just 35.5% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL. Browns have allowed successful plays on just 39.7% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2021 season — best in NFL.

    Steelers RBs have averaged just 48.0 rushing yards per game this season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed an average of just 74.5 rushing yards per game this season — fourth-best in NFL.

    The Steelers have run successful plays on just 40.7% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL. Browns have allowed successful plays on just 41.2% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — third-best in NFL.

    Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Steelers ran the ball on 27% of plays (39 carries/144 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

    The Steelers have run 23% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

    The Steelers are averaging 12.9 drives per TD in the 1st quarter since the 2020 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

    The Steelers have run successful plays on 31% of pass attempts in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Browns have rushed for 4 TDs this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

    The Browns started 5 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — fewest in NFL.

    The Browns had a third down conversion rate of 67% in Week 2 — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

    The Browns went three and out on 7% of their drives in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

    Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Steelers defense did not record a sack (35 pass attempts) in Week 2 — tied for worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.5.

    The Steelers defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 24 times last season — most in NFL.

    The Steelers defense has averaged 2.5 interceptions per game (5/2) this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 0.9.

    The Steelers defense forced three and outs on 27% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

    Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Browns defense has allowed 7.1 yards after the catch (307 RAC / 43 receptions) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.

    The Browns defense have allowed 35 broken tackles since Week 16 of the 2021 Season — most in NFL.

    The Browns defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 35 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) this season. — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

    28% of the plays run against the Browns have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.