- The Falcons (5-7) are -1 point favorites vs the Steelers (4-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 43 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Pittsburgh Steelers (4-7) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (5-7) on Dec. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Atlanta.
The Steelers are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Steelers vs. Falcons Over/Under is 42 total points for the game.
Bet now on Falcons vs Steelers & all NFL games with BetMGM
Steelers vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 13
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Steelers | -1 -110 | 42 -110 | -115 |
| Falcons | +1 -110 | 42 -110 | -105 |
Steelers vs. Falcons Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this Week 13 game with 51.7% confidence.
Steelers vs Falcons Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread this Week 13 with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Steelers and Falcons, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Falcons vs Steelers and all NFL games with BetMGM
Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 6 games (+6.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- Mitchell Trubisky has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- George Pickens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.20 Units / 58% ROI)
- Drake London has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Marcus Mariota has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Drake London has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 42% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Falcons vs Steelers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Firkser | 9.5 -115 | 9.5 -115 |
| Drake London | 34.5 -115 | 34.5 -115 |
| George Pickens | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -120 |
| Steven Sims Jr | 12.5 -110 | 12.5 -120 |
| Parker Hesse | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Falcons vs Steelers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 50.5 -120 | 50.5 -115 |
| Kenny Pickett | 24.5 -115 | 24.5 -115 |
| Marcus Mariota | 41.5 -120 | 41.5 -110 |
| Tyler Allgeier | 38.5 -115 | 38.5 -115 |
Steelers Best Bets for Week 13:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets for Week 13:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.65 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 48% ROI)
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 5-5 (-0.5 Units / -4.15% ROI).
- Steelers are 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 6.81% ROI
- Steelers are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- Steelers are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / ROI
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons have gone 7-5 (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).
- Falcons are 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -12.9% ROI
- Falcons are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Falcons are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Steelers are winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.
The Steelers are winless (0-3) vs top 10 run offenses this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.
The Steelers are winless (0-5) when committing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .405.
The Steelers were 6-1 (.857) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .459.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Falcons are winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .418.
The Falcons are 2-1 (.667) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game this season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .539.
The Falcons are 3-6 (.333) when underdogs this season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.
The Falcons are 1-4 (.200) when making less than 7 explosive plays this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.
Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons have run successful plays on 41.0% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Steelers have pressured opposing QBs on just 15.8% of passing plays this season — third-worst in NFL.
Falcons WRs have gained 1,344 yards on 95 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — third-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — second-worst in NFL.
The Falcons have scored on 18.2% of their drives in the fourth quarter since Week 9 — fifth-worst in NFL. The Steelers defense has allowed scores on 20% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since Week 9 — tied for fifth-best in NFL.
The Steelers were successful on 50.0% of plays they have run last week — tied for fourth-best in NFL. Falcons allowed their opponents to be successful on 52.5% of plays in Week 12 — second-worst in NFL.
The Steelers ran successful plays on 57.1% of rush attempts last week — fourth-best in NFL. Falcons allowed successful plays on 58.3% of rush attempts in Week 12 — third-worst in NFL.
Steelers TEs have 69 receptions in 11 games (6.3 per game) this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Falcons have allowed 5.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Week 13
The Steelers are averaging 30.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Steelers ran the ball on 27% of plays (39 carries/144 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Steelers ran successful plays on 41% of pass attempts last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
One of the Steelers offense’s 7 (14%) TDs have come through the air since Week 9 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats for Week 13
The Falcons have thrown the ball 40% of the time (276 Pass Attempts/693 plays) this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Falcons have thrown 61% of their pass attempts 1 to 10 yards downfield this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 71%.
The Falcons have thrown the ball 29% of the time (91 Pass Attempts/314 plays) on 1st down this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Falcons have run the ball on 55% of plays (381 carries/693 plays) this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Week 13
The Steelers defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 24 times last season — most in NFL.
The Steelers defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (55/618) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Steelers defense have forced three and outs on 28% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Steelers defense has allowed 20+ yard rushes 31 times since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats for Week 13
The Falcons defense has pressured opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Falcons defense has averaged a sack every 29.5 pass attempts (1,033 Pass Attempts/35 Sacks) since the 2021 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 15.6.
The Falcons defense sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (18/593) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Falcons defense averaged a sack every 32.9 pass attempts (593 Pass Attempts/18 Sacks) last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.1.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Falcons vs Steelers and all NFL games with BetMGM
Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
