Steelers vs Panthers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 15, 2022, 11:00 AM
  • The Panthers (5-8) are -2.5 point favorites vs the Steelers (5-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Pittsburgh Steelers (5-8) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (5-8) on Dec. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Charlotte.

The Panthers are betting favorites in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Steelers vs. Panthers Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.

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Steelers vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 15

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Steelers+3 -11537.5 -110+120
Panthers -3 -10537.5 -110-145

Steelers vs. Panthers Prediction for Week 15

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Panthers will win this Week 15 game with 53.5% confidence.

Steelers vs Panthers Spread Prediction for Week 15

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread this Week 15 with 57.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Steelers and Panthers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 8 games (+8.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.65 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Mitchell Trubisky has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • George Pickens has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 55% ROI)

Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • D.J. Moore has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+3.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • P.J. Walker has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • D’Onta Foreman has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Ian Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • P.J. Walker has hit the Completions Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 33% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Panthers vs Steelers

Player Name 1st TD Odds
D'Onta Foreman +600
DJ Moore +750
Najee Harris +750
Jaylen Warren +800
Chuba Hubbard +1000

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Panthers vs Steelers

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
D'Onta Foreman -110
DJ Moore +115
Najee Harris +138
Jaylen Warren +155
Chuba Hubbard +170

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Panthers vs Steelers

Player Name Over Under
George Pickens 40.5 -110 40.5 -120
Najee Harris 10.5 -115 10.5 -115
Diontae Johnson 45.5 -120 45.5 -110
Pat Freiermuth 39.5 -115 39.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Panthers vs Steelers

Player Name Over Under
Sam Darnold 14.5 -110 14.5 -120
Najee Harris 59.5 -115 59.5 -115
Chubba Hubbard 34.5 -110 34.5 -120
D'Onta Foreman 65.5 -110 65.5 -120
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.20 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+10.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have scored first in 11 of their last 16 games (+9.30 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.45 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+7.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.75 Units / 38% ROI)

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 6-6 (-0.6 Units / -4.21% ROI).

  • Steelers are 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 3.51% ROI
  • Steelers are 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
  • Steelers are 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / ROI

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers have gone 7-6 (+0.4 Units / 2.82% ROI).

  • Panthers are 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 12.55% ROI
  • Panthers are 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.85 Units / -26.83% ROI
  • Panthers are 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / 17.54% ROI

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Steelers are winless (0-6) when committing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .400.

The Steelers are winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .374.

The Steelers were undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run defenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .429.

The Steelers are winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .394.

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Panthers are winless (0-4) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .491.

The Panthers are 2-16 (.111) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .442.

The Panthers are 0-7 (.000) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — tied for worst in NFL. The Steelers have intercepted 14 passes this season — tied for second-most in NFL.

The Panthers are winless (0-3) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .394.

Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Carolina Panthers

The Panthers have a third down conversion rate of just 10.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Steelers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 6.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — best in NFL.

The Panthers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 17.5% of pass attempts this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Steelers have pressured opposing QBs on just 16.9% of passing plays this season — second-worst in NFL.

The Panthers have a third down conversion rate of just 19.4% against the blitz this season — worst in NFL. The Steelers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 27.3% when blitzing this season — fifth-best in NFL.

Steelers WRs have averaged just 2.5 yards after the catch this season — worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed just 3.4 yards after catch per reception to WRs this season — best in NFL.

The Steelers have an average drive start position from the 24.4 yard line this season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed an average drive start position from the 25.0 yard line this season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Steelers have thrown for just 6.4 yards per attempt on passes up the middle this season — third-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed just 6.6 yards per dropback when defending passes up the middle this season — tied for best in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Steelers are averaging 35.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.

The Steelers are averaging 12.7 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

The Steelers have run 11% of their plays in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Steelers ran the ball on 27% of plays (39 carries/144 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Panthers have run successful plays on 29% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Panthers have run successful plays on 36% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Panthers have run successful plays on 39% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Panthers have run successful plays on 30% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Steelers defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 24 times last season — most in NFL.

The Steelers defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (55/618) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Steelers have been flagged 14 times for 10+ yards on defense since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

The Steelers defense has blitzed on 20% of plays since Week 11 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Panthers defense has allowed scores on 11% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Panthers defense has allowed scores on 14% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Panthers defense did not allow a successful play on any play in the 1st quarter in Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.