Steelers vs Raiders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

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(AP Photo/Jeff Lewis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 19, 2023, 3:38 PM
  • The Raiders are -1.5 point favorites vs the Steelers
  • Total (Over/Under): 43 points
  • Watch the game on NBC

The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (1-1) on Sep. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Las Vegas.

The Raiders are betting favorites in this Week 3 matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Steelers vs. Raiders Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.

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Steelers vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Steelers+1.5 -11043 -110+105
Raiders -1.5 -11043 -110-125

Steelers vs. Raiders Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Raiders will win this Week 3 game with 50.0% confidence.

Steelers vs Raiders Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Steelers and Raiders, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this Week 3 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • George Pickens has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Davante Adams has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfrow has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+5.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.85 Units / 18% ROI)

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers went 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Steelers are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 10% ROI
  • Steelers are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Steelers are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders went 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI).

  • Raiders are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 20% ROI
  • Raiders are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Raiders are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Steelers are 8-2 (.800) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season — tied for sixth-best in NFL. The Raiders have intercepted 6 passes since the 2022 season — tied for fewest in NFL.

The Steelers are 8-4 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season — tied for 10th-best in NFL. The Raiders have averaged just 1.6 sacks per game over that time span — third-worst in NFL.

The Steelers were 2-6 (.250) when committing 1 or more turnovers in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .403.

The Steelers were winless (0-5) when committing 2 or more turnovers in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .296.

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Raiders were 1-6 (.143) vs top 10 run defenses in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .438.

The Raiders were winless (0-4) after a home win in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Raiders were 1-5 (.167) when making less than 7 explosive plays in the 2022 season — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .401.

The Raiders were winless (0-5) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .344.

Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders have 12 rushing touchdowns since the 2022 season — tied for third-fewest in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 9 rushing TDs since the 2022 season — tied for fewest in NFL.

Raiders WRs have 24 receiving touchdowns since the 2022 season — tied for third-most in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 32 receiving touchdowns since the 2022 season — tied for second-most in NFL.

The Raiders have thrown the ball 56.7% of the time in the red zone since the 2022 season — fourth-highest in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 23 receiving touchdowns when defending in the red zone since the 2022 season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.

The Steelers are 8-2 (.800) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season — tied for sixth-best in NFL. The Raiders have intercepted 6 passes since the 2022 season — tied for fewest in NFL.

The Steelers are 8-4 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season — tied for 10th-best in NFL. The Raiders have averaged just 1.6 sacks per game over that time span — third-worst in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats

The Steelers have not recorded a TD in 12 drives in the 2nd half this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.

The Steelers are averaging 17.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter since the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.

The Steelers are averaging 13.0 drives per TD this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.

The Steelers have run successful plays on 0% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats

The Raiders have run successful plays on 14% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Raiders have converted first downs on 4 of 7 plays (57%) on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Raiders have run 90 plays this season — fewest in NFL.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 17% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats

The Steelers defense has allowed 20+ yard rushes 3 times this season — tied for 2nd-most in NFL.

The Steelers defense allowed 6 rushing TDs on 61 carries (10.2 Carries Per TD) in the red zone in the 2022 season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.

The Steelers defense have forced three and outs on 11% of opponent drives this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

The Steelers defense has allowed 7 rushing TDs on 66 carries (9.4 Carries Per TD) in the red zone since the 2022 season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats

The Raiders defense has allowed 5 TD passes in the red zone this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Raiders defense has no interceptions and 5 TD passes allowed this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

The Raiders defense has averaged 0.3 interceptions per game (12/36) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

The Raiders defense allowed first downs on 48% of rush attempts in the red zone in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.