Steelers vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 27, 2022, 1:21 PM
  • The Ravens (10-5) are -3 point favorites vs the Steelers (7-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 36 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Pittsburgh Steelers (7-8) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (10-5) on Jan. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Baltimore.

The Ravens are betting favorites in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Steelers vs. Ravens Over/Under is 36 total points for the game.

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Steelers vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 17

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Steelers+3 -11036 -110+145
Ravens -3 -11036 -110-175

Steelers vs. Ravens Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this Week 17 game with 69.3% confidence.

Steelers vs Ravens Spread Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread this Week 17 with 62.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Steelers and Ravens, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 8 games (+8.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Diontae Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+5.40 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • George Pickens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Demarcus Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Gus Edwards has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Tyler Huntley has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+6.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+4.20 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have scored first in 12 of their last 15 games (+7.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.20 Units / 59% ROI)

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 8-6 (+1.4 Units / 8.54% ROI).

  • Steelers are 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 16.57% ROI
  • Steelers are 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Steelers are 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens have gone 6-8 (-2.95 Units / -17.77% ROI).

  • Ravens are 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 7.55% ROI
  • Ravens are 4-11 when betting the Over for -8.1 Units / -49.09% ROI
  • Ravens are 11-4 when betting the Under for +6.6 Units / 40% ROI

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Steelers are winless (0-5) when committing 2 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .299.

The Steelers are winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .282.

The Steelers were 6-1 (.857) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .459.

The Steelers are 1-7 (.125) when rushing less than 25 times this season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .319.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Ravens are winless (0-3) when allowing more than 50% of third down conversions opportunities since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .286.

The Ravens are 6-3 (.667) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .494.

The Ravens are 5-2 (.714) at home this season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .547.

The Ravens are 9-4 (.692) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .516.

Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens

Ravens TEs have 9 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fourth-most in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 26 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for second-most in NFL.

The Ravens have thrown for 555 passing yards in 4 games (just 138.8 YPG) since Week 13 — worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed just 146.2 passing yards per game since Week 13 — best in NFL.

Ravens WRs have just 73.5 receiving yards per game since Week 13 — second-worst in NFL. The Steelers have averaged just 104.5 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs since Week 13 — fifth-best in NFL.

The Steelers are averaging just 3.7 yards per carry since Week 13 — fifth-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just 3.7 yards per carry since Week 13 — fourth-best in NFL.

The Steelers are averaging just 3.8 yards per carry on first down this season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just 4.0 yards per carry on first down this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Steelers ran the ball on 27% of plays (39 carries/144 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Steelers are averaging 19.5 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.

The Steelers threw the ball 69% of the time (99 Pass Attempts/144 plays) in the red zone last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Steelers are averaging 11.4 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Ravens have targeted WRs 42% of the time (176 Pass Attempts/423 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Ravens have targeted TEs 40% of the time (168 Pass Attempts/423 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Ravens have thrown the ball 12% of the time (7 Pass Attempts/59 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Ravens ran successful plays on 58% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Steelers defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 24 times last season — most in NFL.

The Steelers defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (55/618) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Steelers have been flagged 16 times for 10+ yards on defense since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

The Steelers defense sacked opponents 55 times last season — most in NFL.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

30% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

23% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Ravens defense has allowed 157 of 574 (27%) first downs on the ground since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

25% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.