- The Ravens are -10 point favorites vs the Steelers
- Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- Watch this game on Amazon
The Pittsburgh Steelers () visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens () on Jan. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Baltimore, MD.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -10 (-105).
The Steelers vs. Ravens Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Steelers vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Steelers | +10 -115 | 43.5 -110 | +380 |
| Ravens | -10 -105 | 43.5 -110 | -500 |
Steelers vs. Ravens Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 87.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Steelers vs Ravens Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 5 away games (+6.25 Units / 79% ROI)
- Van Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.57 Units / 62% ROI)
- Najee Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Calvin Austin III has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Calvin Austin III has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.65 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Interceptions Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Steelers
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | +350 |
| Mark Andrews (Bal) | +700 |
| Rashod Bateman (Bal) | +800 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Ravens vs Steelers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Andrews (BAL) | 45.5 -115 | 45.5 -115 |
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Isaiah Likely (BAL) | 26.5 -145 | 26.5 +110 |
| Najee Harris (PIT) | 9.5 -110 | 9.5 -120 |
| George Pickens (PIT) | 55.5 -110 | 55.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Ravens vs Steelers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Russell Wilson (PIT) | 14.5 -120 | 14.5 -110 |
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | 99.5 -110 | 99.5 -120 |
| Najee Harris (PIT) | 42.5 -115 | 42.5 -115 |
| Lamar Jackson (BAL) | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -120 |
| Jaylen Warren (PIT) | 32.5 -110 | 32.5 -120 |
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.88 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers art 11-6 (+4.3 Units / 23.06% ROI).
- Steelers are 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 12.94% ROI
- Steelers are 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI
- Steelers are 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / ROI
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 10-6 (+3.45 Units / 18.35% ROI).
- Ravens are 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.14% ROI
- Ravens are 13-4 when betting the Over for +8.6 Units / 45.99% ROI
- Ravens are 4-13 when betting the Under for -10.3 Units / -55.08% ROI
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Steelers are 9-4 (.692) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — T-10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .571.
The Steelers were 8-2 (.800) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Steelers were 8-4 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties last season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .505.
The Steelers are 6-1 (.857) when scoring 22 or more points this season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .745.
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
The Ravens were 2-1 (.667) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .513.
The Ravens are winless (0-3) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .143.
Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens have run successful plays on 54.7% of pass attempts with motion this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed successful plays on 54.9% of pass attempts against motion this season — worst in NFL.
The Ravens have run successful plays on 47.3% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed successful plays on 49.6% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Ravens have run successful plays on 63.4% of pass attempts on play action passes this season — best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed successful plays on 59.6% of pass attempts on play action passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Steelers have run successful plays on just 36.1% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed successful plays on just 36.0% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Steelers scored on 27.3% of their drives last week — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Ravens defense allowed scores on 16.7% of opponent drives last week — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Steelers have run successful plays on just 39.1% of rush attempts this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed successful plays on just 38.9% of rush attempts this season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers have averaged 8.4 yards per play on contested throws this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Steelers have averaged 0.25 epa per play on contested throws this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.
The Steelers ran no plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter in Week 18 — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Steelers have averaged -0.26 epa per play on first drive of the game this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Ravens have averaged 0.20 epa per play against a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Ravens have averaged 6.9 yards per play against a base front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.
The Ravens have rushed for 20+ yards 50 times since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
The Ravens have thrown the ball 18% of the time (20 Pass Attempts/111 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers defense forced 8 turnovers in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
The Steelers defense allowed a passer rating of just 51.0 in the red zone (71 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.
The Steelers defense has allowed successful plays on 25% of rush attempts against play action passes this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Steelers defense has forced 14 turnovers in the red zone since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
The Ravens defense allowed successful plays on 27% of plays with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Ravens defense has allowed first downs on 47% of rush attempts on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 68%.
The Ravens defense has stuffed 53% (10/19) of rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Ravens defense allowed successful plays on 12% of rush attempts with a base front in Week 18 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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