Texans vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 25, 2022, 10:43 AM
  • The Bears (1-1) are -3 point favorites vs the Texans (0-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 39 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Houston Texans (0-1) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (1-1) on Sep. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Chicago.

The Bears are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Texans vs. Bears Over/Under is 39 total points for the game.

Bet now on Bears vs Texans & all NFL games with BetMGM

Texans vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Houston Texans+3 -11539 -110+125
Chicago Bears -3 -10539 -110-150

Texans vs. Bears Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bears will win this Week 3 game with 53.5% confidence.

Texans vs Bears Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread this Week 3 with 58.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texans and Bears, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Tyler Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jordan Akins has hit the Receptions Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tyler Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Rex Burkhead has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Justin Fields has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ryan Griffin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Darnell Mooney has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+4.20 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Equanimeous St. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+3.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bears vs Texans

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    David Montgomery +500
    Brandin Cooks +650
    Darnell Mooney +800
    Dameon Pierce +1000
    Rex Burkhead +1200

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bears vs Texans

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    David Montgomery -140
    Brandin Cooks -105
    Darnell Mooney +130
    Dameon Pierce +160
    Rex Burkhead +200

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bears vs Texans

    Player Name Over Under
    Darnell Mooney 45.5 -115 45.5 -115
    David Montgomery 15.5 -115 15.5 -115
    Equanimeous St. Brown 25.5 -115 25.5 -115
    Nico Collins 37.5 -115 37.5 -115
    Brandin Cooks 57.5 -110 57.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bears vs Texans

    Player Name Over Under
    Khalil Herbert 21.5 -145 21.5 +110
    Dameon Pierce 60.5 -115 60.5 -115
    Dameon Pierce 62.5 -110 62.5 -115
    David Montgomery 69.5 -115 69.5 -110
    Justin Fields 36.5 -115 36.5 -110
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+10.30 Units / 99% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+5.80 Units / 97% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have scored last in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.40 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans have gone 2-0 (+2 Units / 88.89% ROI).

    • Texans are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -50% ROI
    • Texans are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
    • Texans are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / ROI

    Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

    • Bears are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 62.5% ROI
    • Bears are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
    • Bears are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

    Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

    The Texans are winless (0-4-1) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.

    The Texans are 1-12-1 (.071) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.

    The Texans were winless (0-3) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

    The Texans were winless (0-10) when scoring less than 22 points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .222.

    Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans

    The Bears were winless (0-6) when losing at least one fumble last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .370.

    The Bears are winless (0-6) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .374.

    The Bears are winless (0-3) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .279.

    The Bears were 4-9 (.308) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties last season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .483.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears

    Bears WRs have gained 134 yards on 7 receptions (19.1 YPR) this season — best in NFL. The Texans have allowed 15.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

    The Bears have rushed the ball on 56.1% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone since the 2021 season — third-highest in NFL. The Texans have allowed 23 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most in NFL.

    Bears have rushed the ball on 66.7% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone since Week 17 of the 2021 Season — second-highest in NFL. The Texans have allowed just 1.7 yards per carry when defending in the red zone since Week 17 of the 2021 Season — tied for third-best in NFL.

    The Texans ran successful plays on 58.8% of rush attempts last week — third-best in NFL. Bears allowed successful plays on 52.8% of rush attempts in Week 2 — fifth-worst in NFL.

    The Texans allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 34.2% of pass attempts last week — fifth-worst in NFL. The Bears have pressured opposing QBs on 48.0% of passing plays in Week 2 — third-best in NFL.

    Texans RBs have averaged just 4.8 yards after the catch since Week 17 of the 2021 Season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Bears have allowed just 4.9 yards after catch per reception to RBs since Week 17 of the 2021 Season — best in NFL.

    Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Texans did not record a TD in 11 drives in Week 2 — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.

    The Texans ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Texans ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Texans converted first downs on just 52 of 410 plays (13%) on 1st down last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

    Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Bears have run the ball on 63% of plays (61 carries/97 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

    The Bears have gone three and out 5 times in the 2nd quarter this season — most in NFL.

    The Bears have run successful plays on 13% of pass attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

    The Bears have run successful plays on 25% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

    Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Texans defense have allowed 18 broken tackles this season — most in NFL.

    The Texans defense has missed 27 tackles this season — most in NFL.

    The Texans defense allowed 10 broken tackles in Week 2 — most in NFL.

    The Texans defense allowed successful plays on 36% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

    Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Bears defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (48/526) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

    Offenses facing the Bears have thrown the ball 37% of the time (86 Pass Attempts/235 plays) since Week 17 of the 2021 Season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

    The Bears defense allowed first downs on 55% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 69%.

    The Bears defense sacked opposing QBs on 43% of pass attempts (48/111) when they pressured the QB last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 27%.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.