Texans vs Broncos Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2022, 8:42 AM
  • The Broncos (0-1) are -10 point favorites vs the Texans (0-0)
  • Total (Over/Under): 46 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Houston Texans (0-0) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (0-1) on Sep. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Denver.

The Broncos are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).

The Texans vs. Broncos Over/Under is 46 total points for the game.

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Texans vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Houston Texans+10 -11046 -110+375
Denver Broncos -10 -11046 -110-500

Texans vs. Broncos Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this Week 2 game with 78.0% confidence.

Texans vs Broncos Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread this Week 2 with 70.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texans and Broncos, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nico Collins has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Davis Mills has hit the Completions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jordan Akins has hit the Receptions Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Chris Conley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.25 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Courtland Sutton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Tim Patrick has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Courtland Sutton has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Melvin Gordon has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Broncos vs Texans

Player Name Over Under
Javonte Williams 20.5 -115 20.5 -115
Brandin Cooks 62.5 -115 62.5 -115
Nico Collins 40.5 -115 40.5 -115
Albert Okwuegbunam 30.5 -115 30.5 -115
Courtland Sutton 54.5 -115 54.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Broncos vs Texans

Player Name Over Under
Dameon Pierce 42.5 -115 42.5 -115
Melvin Gordon 53.5 -110 53.5 -115
Russell Wilson 8.5 -120 8.5 -110
Javonte Williams 58.5 -115 58.5 -115
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+10.30 Units / 110% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+5.80 Units / 116% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+5.75 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 2H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 106% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.75 Units / 20% ROI)

Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Texans are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Texans are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Texans are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Broncos are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Broncos are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Broncos are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Texans are winless (0-3-1) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The Texans were winless (0-3) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Texans are 1-11-1 (.077) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.

The Texans were winless (0-10) when scoring less than 22 points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .222.

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans

The Broncos were winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .267.

The Broncos were winless (0-8) whe trailing at the end of the frist half last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .198.

The Broncos are winless (0-4) since Week 16 of the 2021 Season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The Broncos were winless (0-2) when committing 2 or more turnovers last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .259.

Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Denver Broncos

Broncos RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 12.5% of 432 carries since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL. The Texans have allowed 10+ yards on 15.0% of carries to RBs since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL.

Broncos RBs rushed for 10 or more yards on 12.1% of 413 carries last season — fourth-best in NFL. The Texans allowed 10+ yards on 15.1% of carries to RBs last season — worst in NFL.

Broncos RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 12.2% of 804 carries since the 2020 season — fifth-best in NFL. The Texans have allowed 10+ yards on 15.1% of carries to RBs since the 2020 season — worst in NFL.

The Texans scored on 26.5% of their drives last season — second-worst in NFL. The Broncos defense allowed scores on 32.2% of opponent drives last season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Texans scored on 22.6% of their drives in the fourth quarter last season — second-worst in NFL. The Broncos defense allowed scores on 27.7% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Texans scored on 20.6% of their drives in the second half last season — worst in NFL. The Broncos defense allowed scores on 30.4% of opponent drives in the second half last season — fifth-best in NFL.

Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Texans ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Texans went three and out on 29% of their drives last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Texans ran successful plays on 37% of plays last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Texans ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Broncos have run successful plays on 36% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2020 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Broncos did not go three and out on any of their drives in Week 1 — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Broncos ran 34% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half in Week 1 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

Two of the Broncos offense’s 7 (29%) TDs have come through the air since Week 16 of the 2021 Season — tied for lowest in NFL; League Avg: 65%.

Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Texans defense missed 17 tackles in Week 1 — most in NFL.

The Texans defense allowed successful plays on 36% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Texans defense allowed scores on 43% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Texans defense allowed 8 broken tackles in Week 1 — 3rd-most in NFL.

Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Broncos defense allowed just 6.9 points per game to opposing offenses (117 points / 17 games) in the 2nd half last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.

The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 57% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Broncos defense allowed successful plays on 14% of plays in the 4th quarter in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Broncos defense has allowed a passer rating of just 59.4 in close and late situations (72 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 90.4.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.