- The Chargers are -2 point favorites vs the Texans
- Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
- Watch this game on NFLN
The Houston Texans (10-5-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (11-4-0) on Dec. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Inglewood, CA.
The Chargers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).
The Texans vs. Chargers Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Chargers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Texans vs. Chargers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this game with 54.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Texans vs Chargers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Chargers vs Texans and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
- Ka’imi Fairbairn has hit the Field Goals Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Xavier Hutchinson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Woody Marks has hit the Carries Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Dalton Schultz has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.40 Units / 65% ROI)
- Xavier Hutchinson has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.40 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Cameron Dicker has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tre Harris has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 68% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Interceptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.10 Units / 71% ROI)
- Quentin Johnston has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chargers vs Texans
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud (HOU) | +4000 |
| Woody Marks (HOU) | +700 |
| Nick Chubb (HOU) | +2000 |
| Dare Ogunbowale (Hou) | +8000 |
| Nico Collins (HOU) | +750 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Chargers vs Texans
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Oronde Gadsden II (LAC) | 29.5 -110 | 29.5 -118 |
| Tre Harris (LAC) | 21.5 -115 | 21.5 -115 |
| Keenan Allen (LAC) | 34.5 -118 | 34.5 -110 |
| Nico Collins (HOU) | 62.5 -115 | 62.5 -115 |
| Dalton Schultz (HOU) | 45.5 -115 | 45.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Chargers vs Texans
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Woody Marks (HOU) | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -118 |
| Justin Herbert (LAC) | 21.5 -110 | 21.5 -118 |
| Omarion Hampton (LAC) | 59.5 -110 | 59.5 -118 |
| C.J. Stroud (HOU) | 10.5 -105 | 10.5 -125 |
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+8.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+4.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.43 Units / 20% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans are 8-7 (+0.25 Units / 1.51% ROI).
- Texans are 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 18.58% ROI
- Texans are 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -29.7% ROI
- Texans are 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / ROI
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers are 9-6 (+2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- Chargers are 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 17.69% ROI
- Chargers are 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI
- Chargers are 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 7% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 17% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 13.0 on contested throws (48 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 70.5.
The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 66.6 against play action passes (81 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 101.4.
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Chargers scored on 75% of their drives (6/8) in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Chargers have run successful plays on 71% of pass attempts on motion plays since Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Chargers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 34% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Chargers have a third down conversion rate of 52% in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers scored on 75% of their drives (6/8) in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Chargers have run successful plays on 71% of pass attempts on motion plays since Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Chargers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 34% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Chargers have a third down conversion rate of 52% in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 7% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 17% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 13.0 on contested throws (48 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 70.5.
The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 66.6 against play action passes (81 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 101.4.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 7% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 17% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 13.0 on contested throws (48 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 70.5.
The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 66.6 against play action passes (81 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 101.4.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers scored on 75% of their drives (6/8) in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Chargers have run successful plays on 71% of pass attempts on motion plays since Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Chargers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 34% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Chargers have a third down conversion rate of 52% in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 7% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 17% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 13.0 on contested throws (48 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 70.5.
The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 66.6 against play action passes (81 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 101.4.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers scored on 75% of their drives (6/8) in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Chargers have run successful plays on 71% of pass attempts on motion plays since Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Chargers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 34% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Chargers have a third down conversion rate of 52% in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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