Texans vs Colts Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 18

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 06, 2023, 4:15 PM
  • The Colts (4-11) are -2.5 point favorites vs the Texans (2-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 38 points

The Houston Texans (2-13) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (4-11) on Jan. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Indianapolis.

The Colts are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Texans vs. Colts Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.

Bet now on Colts vs Texans & all NFL games with BetMGM

Texans vs. Colts Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texans+2.5 -10538 -110+120
Colts -2.5 -11538 -110-145

Texans vs. Colts Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Colts will win this Week 18 game with 50.0% confidence.

Texans vs Colts Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread this Week 18 with 64.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texans and Colts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Colts vs Texans and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandin Cooks has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Phillip Dorsett has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Brandin Cooks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Rex Burkhead has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.10 Units / 34% ROI)

Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Matt Ryan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Alec Pierce has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jonathan Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Colts vs Texans

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Zack Moss +550
Royce Freeman +800
Brandin Cooks +800
Michael Pittman +1000
Chris Moore +1100

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Colts vs Texans

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Zack Moss -115
Royce Freeman +145
Brandin Cooks +145
Michael Pittman +175
Chris Moore +190
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+6.10 Units / 122% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+5.40 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+6.70 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)

Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans have gone 7-8 (-1.75 Units / -10% ROI).

  • Texans are 2-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -55.31% ROI
  • Texans are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5.05 Units / -28.61% ROI
  • Texans are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / ROI

Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts have gone 6-10 (-4.85 Units / -27.95% ROI).

  • Colts are 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -34.75% ROI
  • Colts are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Colts are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI

Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts

The Texans are 1-20-1 (.045) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Texans are winless (0-9-1) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.

The Texans are winless (0-5-1) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The Texans are 1-7-1 (.111) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .423.

Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans

The Colts are 1-4-1 (.167) when favorites this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .645.

The Colts are 1-10 (.091) when making less than 7 explosive plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .401.

The Colts are 1-8-1 (.100) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .383.

The Colts are 2-5 (.286) at home this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .552.

Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts

The Colts have 15 touchdown passes this season — tied for second-fewest in NFL. The Texans have allowed 13 passing TDs this season — fewest in NFL.

The Colts have averaged just 0.9 passing TDs per game this season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Texans have allowed just 0.8 passing touchdowns per game this season — best in NFL.

The Colts have averaged just 0.7 passing TDs per game since Week 14 — fifth-worst in NFL. The Texans have allowed just 0.8 passing touchdowns per game since Week 14 — tied for fifth-best in NFL.

The Texans have a third down conversion rate of just 13.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 11.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — third-best in NFL.

The Texans have scored on 14.9% of their drives in the first quarter this season — worst in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed scores on 20.9% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — tied for second-best in NFL.

Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Texans have converted first downs on just 61 of 284 plays (21%) in close and late situations since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Texans ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Texans ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Texans have run successful plays on 32% of plays in close and late situations this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Colts have an average drive start position from the 34.5 yard line in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 26.0.

The Colts threw the ball 33% of the time (33 Pass Attempts/99 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Colts are averaging 13.1 drives per TD in the 1st half this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.

The Colts have converted first downs on just 5 of 37 plays (14%) on plays up the middle Since Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Texans defense has allowed an average of 26.2 fantasy points per game as a unit to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17.6.

The Texans defense has allowed 0.8 TD passes per game (13/16) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.4.

The Texans defense has allowed 13 TD passes this season — fewest in NFL.

Offenses facing the Texans have thrown the ball 46% of the time (487 Pass Attempts/1,061 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Colts defense has missed 26 tackles Since Week 13 — most in NFL.

The Colts defense allowed successful plays on 100% of pass attempts in the 2nd half in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Colts defense allowed a passer rating of just 47.5 on 3rd and short (36 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 98.4.

The Colts defense allowed 12 TD passes in close and late situations last season — most in NFL.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Colts vs Texans and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.