- The Colts (4-11) are -2.5 point favorites vs the Texans (2-13)
- Total (Over/Under): 38 points
The Houston Texans (2-13) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (4-11) on Jan. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Indianapolis.
The Colts are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Texans vs. Colts Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Colts Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 18
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texans | +2.5 -105 | 38 -110 | +120 |
| Colts | -2.5 -115 | 38 -110 | -145 |
Texans vs. Colts Prediction for Week 18
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Colts will win this Week 18 game with 50.0% confidence.
Texans vs Colts Spread Prediction for Week 18
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread this Week 18 with 64.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texans and Colts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandin Cooks has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Phillip Dorsett has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 69% ROI)
- Brandin Cooks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Rex Burkhead has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.10 Units / 34% ROI)
Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Matt Ryan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alec Pierce has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Colts vs Texans
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Zack Moss | +550 |
| Royce Freeman | +800 |
| Brandin Cooks | +800 |
| Michael Pittman | +1000 |
| Chris Moore | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Colts vs Texans
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Zack Moss | -115 |
| Royce Freeman | +145 |
| Brandin Cooks | +145 |
| Michael Pittman | +175 |
| Chris Moore | +190 |
Texans Best Bets for Week 18:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+6.10 Units / 122% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+5.40 Units / 77% ROI)
Colts Best Bets for Week 18:
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+6.70 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans have gone 7-8 (-1.75 Units / -10% ROI).
- Texans are 2-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -55.31% ROI
- Texans are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5.05 Units / -28.61% ROI
- Texans are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / ROI
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts have gone 6-10 (-4.85 Units / -27.95% ROI).
- Colts are 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -34.75% ROI
- Colts are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Colts are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Texans are 1-20-1 (.045) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Texans are winless (0-9-1) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.
The Texans are winless (0-5-1) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Texans are 1-7-1 (.111) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .423.
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Colts are 1-4-1 (.167) when favorites this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .645.
The Colts are 1-10 (.091) when making less than 7 explosive plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .401.
The Colts are 1-8-1 (.100) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .383.
The Colts are 2-5 (.286) at home this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .552.
Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts have 15 touchdown passes this season — tied for second-fewest in NFL. The Texans have allowed 13 passing TDs this season — fewest in NFL.
The Colts have averaged just 0.9 passing TDs per game this season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Texans have allowed just 0.8 passing touchdowns per game this season — best in NFL.
The Colts have averaged just 0.7 passing TDs per game since Week 14 — fifth-worst in NFL. The Texans have allowed just 0.8 passing touchdowns per game since Week 14 — tied for fifth-best in NFL.
The Texans have a third down conversion rate of just 13.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 11.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — third-best in NFL.
The Texans have scored on 14.9% of their drives in the first quarter this season — worst in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed scores on 20.9% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — tied for second-best in NFL.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats for Week 18
The Texans have converted first downs on just 61 of 284 plays (21%) in close and late situations since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Texans ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans have run successful plays on 32% of plays in close and late situations this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats for Week 18
The Colts have an average drive start position from the 34.5 yard line in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 26.0.
The Colts threw the ball 33% of the time (33 Pass Attempts/99 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Colts are averaging 13.1 drives per TD in the 1st half this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.
The Colts have converted first downs on just 5 of 37 plays (14%) on plays up the middle Since Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats for Week 18
The Texans defense has allowed an average of 26.2 fantasy points per game as a unit to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17.6.
The Texans defense has allowed 0.8 TD passes per game (13/16) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.4.
The Texans defense has allowed 13 TD passes this season — fewest in NFL.
Offenses facing the Texans have thrown the ball 46% of the time (487 Pass Attempts/1,061 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats for Week 18
The Colts defense has missed 26 tackles Since Week 13 — most in NFL.
The Colts defense allowed successful plays on 100% of pass attempts in the 2nd half in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Colts defense allowed a passer rating of just 47.5 on 3rd and short (36 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 98.4.
The Colts defense allowed 12 TD passes in close and late situations last season — most in NFL.
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