Texans vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 11, 2022, 10:00 AM
  • The Cowboys (9-3) are -17 point favorites vs the Texans (1-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 45 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Houston Texans visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys on Dec. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Arlington.

The Cowboys are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).

The Texans vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.

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Texans vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 14

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texans+17.5 -11044 -110+1000
Cowboys -17.5 -11044 -110-2000

Texans vs. Cowboys Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 14 game with 77.0% confidence.

Texans vs Cowboys Spread Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread this Week 14 with 56.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texans and Cowboys, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dameon Pierce has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Davis Mills has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Eno Benjamin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.10 Units / 90% ROI)

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.35 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.20 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Tony Pollard has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Tony Pollard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Interceptions Over in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+3.50 Units / 44% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cowboys vs Texans

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Tony Pollard +400
Ezekiel Elliott +500
CeeDee Lamb +600
Dameon Pierce +1000
Dalton Schultz +1000

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cowboys vs Texans

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Tony Pollard -150
Ezekiel Elliott -125
CeeDee Lamb -110
Dameon Pierce +125
Dalton Schultz +170

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Cowboys vs Texans

Player Name Over Under
CeeDee Lamb 70.5 -115 70.5 -115
Tony Pollard 15.5 -120 15.5 -110
Michael Gallup 40.5 -120 40.5 -110
Phillip Dorsett ll 31.5 -115 31.5 -115
Dalton Schultz 32.5 -115 32.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Cowboys vs Texans

Player Name Over Under
Dak Prescott 9.5 -110 9.5 -120
Ezekiel Elliott 67.5 -120 67.5 -115
Tony Pollard 67.5 -120 67.5 -110
Dameon Pierce 62.5 -115 62.5 -115
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+6.30 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.95 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 52% ROI)

Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans have gone 4-7 (-3.65 Units / -27.55% ROI).

  • Texans are 1-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -61.67% ROI
  • Texans are 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.85 Units / -36.6% ROI
  • Texans are 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / ROI

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 8-4 (+3.6 Units / 27.48% ROI).

  • Cowboys are 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 28.18% ROI
  • Cowboys are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Cowboys are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Texans are 1-17-1 (.053) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Texans are winless (0-3-1) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .491.

The Texans are winless (0-5-1) at home this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .564.

The Texans are 2-12-1 (.133) at home since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .534.

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans

The Cowboys are 7-2 (.778) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for sixth-best in NFL. The Texans have turned the ball over 21 times this season — tied for second-most in NFL.

The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .459.

The Cowboys are winless (0-1) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .302.

The Cowboys are undefeated (4-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .495.

Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys are averaging 4.9 yards per carry this season — tied for second-best in NFL. The Texans have allowed 5.2 yards per carry this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have averaged 134.1 rushing yards per game this season — best in NFL. The Texans have allowed an average of 169.9 rushing yards per game this season — worst in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have 13 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — third-most in NFL. The Texans have allowed 13 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for third-most in NFL.

The Texans have a third down conversion rate of just 26.7% this season — worst in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 33.1% this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

The Texans have a third down conversion rate of just 10.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 10.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Texans have run just 38.1% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field this season — second-worst in NFL. Cowboys have allowed their opponents to run just 37.3% of plays in their territory this season — best in NFL.

Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Texans have converted first downs on just 19 of 104 plays (18%) in close and late situations this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Texans have run successful plays on 21% of pass attempts in the 1st half since Week 10 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Texans have a third down conversion rate of 27% this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Texans ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Cowboys scored 7 TDs in Week 13 — most in NFL.

The Cowboys have scored 5.1 points per Red Zone drive this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Cowboys have rushed for 9 TDs since Week 10 — tied for most in NFL.

The Cowboys converted first downs on just 17 of 95 plays (18%) on 3rd and long last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Texans defense has allowed successful plays on 14% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter since Week 10 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Offenses facing the Texans have thrown deep balls on just 2% of pass attempts (1/51) on 3rd and long this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Texans defense has allowed 172.8 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 128.4.

Opponents have run the ball 31.0 times per game against The Texans defense (900 carries / 29 games) since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 26.0.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Cowboys defense has forced 16 fumbles this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Cowboys defense has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (48/431) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

Only 11% of the plays run against the Cowboys have been in the red zone since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

Only 5% of the plays run against the Cowboys have been in the red zone in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.