- The Jaguars are -9.5 point favorites vs the Texans
- Total (Over/Under): 44 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Houston Texans (0-2) visit TIAA Bank Field to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) on Sep. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Jacksonville.
The Jaguars are betting favorites in this Week 3 matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Texans vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texans | +9.5 -110 | 44 -110 | +350 |
| Jaguars | -9.5 -110 | 44 -110 | -450 |
Texans vs. Jaguars Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this Week 3 game with 79.8% confidence.
Texans vs Jaguars Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texans and Jaguars, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players this Week 3 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Davis Mills has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+3.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Travis Etienne has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+8.35 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+7.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 2Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.95 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+4.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans went 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Texans are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Texans are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Texans are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars went 1-1 (-0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI).
- Jaguars are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Jaguars are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Jaguars are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Texans are 2-22-1 (.080) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Texans are 2-15-1 (.111) at home since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .528.
The Texans were 1-6 (.143) when sacking the QB 3 or more times in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .614.
The Texans were winless (0-7-1) at home in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .562.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Jaguars are winless (0-4) after a loss as favorites since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .623.
The Jaguars are 10-5 (.667) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2022 season — tied for 10th-best in NFL. The Texans have turned the ball over 33 times since the 2022 season — second-most in NFL.
The Jaguars are winless (0-5) after a loss as favorites since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .641.
The Jaguars are 2-16 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.
Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 17.3% of pass attempts since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — fifth-best in NFL. The Texans have pressured opposing QBs on just 15.2% of passing plays since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — third-worst in NFL.
The Jaguars are averaging 6.3 yards per carry on rushes to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — best in NFL. The Texans have allowed 5.6 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the left since the 2022 season — third-worst in NFL.
The Jaguars are 10-5 (.667) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2022 season — tied for 10th-best in NFL. The Texans have turned the ball over 33 times since the 2022 season — second-most in NFL.
The Texans are averaging just 3.7 yards per carry since the 2022 season — second-worst in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed just 4.2 yards per carry since the 2022 season — fifth-best in NFL.
The Texans have a third down conversion rate of just 32.0% in the first half since the 2022 season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 35.9% in the first half since the 2022 season — fifth-best in NFL.
Texans TEs have gained 1,035 yards on 86 receptions (12.0 YPR) since the 2022 season — fourth-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2022 season — third-worst in NFL.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats
The Texans have run successful plays on 10% of rush attempts in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans have run successful plays on 34% of rush attempts since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans have 4 of 35 (11%) first downs have come on the ground (11%) this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Texans have started 4 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 4th quarter this season — most in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars have converted first downs on just 6 of 24 plays (25%) on 3rd down this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on 0% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Jaguars have a third down conversion rate of 25% this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Jaguars have targeted WRs 72% of the time (67 Pass Attempts/93 plays) in the red zone since the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats
The Texans defense has allowed successful plays on 15% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Texans defense has allowed 6 rushing TDs in the red zone this season — most in NFL.
The Texans defense has allowed 6 rushing TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Texans defense has allowed 56 rushing TDs since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense has allowed at least 5 yards on 29% of first down plays this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Jaguars defense has forced 4 fumbles this season — tied for 2nd-most in NFL.
The Jaguars defense has no interceptions and 37 TD passes allowed in the red zone since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 12.3.
33% of the plays run against the Jaguars have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
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