Texans vs Raiders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:45 AM
  • The Raiders (1-4) are -7 point favorites vs the Texans (1-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Houston Texans (1-3) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (1-4) on Oct. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Las Vegas.

The Raiders are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Texans vs. Raiders Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.

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Texans vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 7

  Spread Total (O/U) Moneyline
Texans +7 -110 45.5 -110 +230
Raiders -7 -110 45.5 -110 -300

Texans vs. Raiders Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Raiders will win this Week 7 game with 76.3% confidence.

Texans vs Raiders Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread this Week 7 with 52.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texans and Raiders, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Tyler Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Brandin Cooks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+3.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Rex Burkhead has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 26% ROI)

 

Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Derek Carr has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Keelan Cole has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.10 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Derek Carr has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.25 Units / 31% ROI)

 

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Raiders vs Texans

Player Name Over Under
Brandin Cooks 62.5 -115 62.5 -115
Nico Collins 41.5 -115 41.5 -120
Josh Jacobs 17.5 -110 17.5 -120
Davante Adams 83.5 -115 83.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Raiders vs Texans

Player Name Over Under
Dameon Pierce 64.5 -115 64.5 -115
Josh Jacobs 81.5 -120 81.5 -110

 

  • The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+10.70 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+7.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 49% ROI)

 

 

  • The Las Vegas Raiders have scored last in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.05 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 53% ROI)

 

Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 33.93% ROI).

  • Texans are 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -8% ROI
  • Texans are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.35 Units / -24.32% ROI
  • Texans are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / ROI

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders have gone 2-3 (-1.3 Units / -23.42% ROI).

  • Raiders are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -65.73% ROI
  • Raiders are 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • Raiders are 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Texans are 1-14-1 (.062) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Texans are 1-5 (.167) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .627.

The Texans are winless (0-7-1) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .377.

The Texans are 4-15-1 (.200) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .490.

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans

The Raiders are 6-1 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Texans have allowed an average of 148.3 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — worst in NFL.

The Raiders are winless (0-3) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.

The Raiders are winless (0-2) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .463.

The Raiders are 6-1 (.857) when passing for more than 300 yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .540.

Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders RBs have averaged 2.2 yards after contact per carry since the 2021 season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Texans have allowed 2.2 yards after contact per carry since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst in NFL.

Raiders RBs have averaged 2.2 yards after contact per carry since the 2021 season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Texans have allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry to RBs since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL.

The Raiders are averaging 5.3 yards per carry this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Texans have allowed 5.4 yards per carry this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Texans have run just 37.8% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2021 season — worst in NFL. Raiders have allowed their opponents to run just 41.3% of plays in their territory since the 2021 season — second-best in NFL.

The Texans have scored 4.7 points per Red Zone drive this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 5.4 points per Red Zone drive this season — worst in NFL.

Texans RBs have averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch since the 2021 season — worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed just 6.7 yards after catch per reception to RBs since the 2021 season — tied for third-best in NFL.

Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Texans ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Texans have converted first downs on just 52 of 246 plays (21%) in close and late situations since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Texans ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Texans are averaging 7.3 drives per TD in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.2.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Raiders converted first downs on just 36 of 73 plays (49%) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Raiders have converted first downs on just 43 of 88 plays (49%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Raiders have converted first downs on just 81 of 157 plays (52%) on 3rd and short since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Texans defense has allowed scores on 8% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

The Texans defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (9 completions/26 attempts) in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Texans defense has allowed first downs on 100% of plays on 3rd and short since Week 3 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

The Texans defense allowed 14.4 points per game to opposing offenses (244 points / 17 games) in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Raiders defense allowed first downs on 81% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

The Raiders defense has intercepted 8 of 784 attempts (98.0 pass attempts per int.) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43.4.

The Raiders defense intercepted 6 of 606 attempts (101.0 pass attempts per int.) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.6.

The Raiders defense has allowed 5.0 TDs per interception (40 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.