- The Ravens are -10 point favorites vs the Texans
- Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Houston Texans (0-0) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (0-0) on Sep. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this Week 1 matchup, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).
The Texans vs. Ravens Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texans | +10 -110 | 43.5 -110 | +375 |
| Ravens | -10 -110 | 43.5 -110 | -500 |
Texans vs. Ravens Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this Week 1 game with 85.0% confidence.
Texans vs Ravens Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texans and Ravens, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players this Week 1 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Davis Mills has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rex Burkhead has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Devin Duvernay has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Sammy Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Huntley has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 79% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Texans
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Mark Andrews | +650 |
| J.K. Dobbins | +700 |
| Lamar Jackson | +900 |
| Dameon Pierce | +900 |
| Odell Beckham | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Texans
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Mark Andrews | +100 |
| Dameon Pierce | +105 |
| J.K. Dobbins | +110 |
| Lamar Jackson | +145 |
| Odell Beckham | +200 |
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+8.80 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 2Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.95 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+6.45 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have scored first in 12 of their last 19 games (+2.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.40 Units / 7% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Texans went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Texans are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 19.23% ROI
- Texans are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Texans are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / ROI
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Ravens went 0-3 (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- Ravens are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -26% ROI
- Ravens are 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Ravens are 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Texans are winless (0-5-1) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Texans were winless (0-6) vs top 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .503.
The Texans were 1-6 (.143) when sacking the QB 3 or more times in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .614.
The Texans were 1-9-1 (.091) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Ravens were 7-2 (.778) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent in the 2022 season — tied for 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .661.
The Ravens were 4-2 (.667) vs top 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .503.
The Ravens were 8-5 (.615) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .549.
The Ravens were 5-1 (.833) after a loss in the 2022 season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .463.
Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens
Ravens RBs rushed for 10 or more yards on 14.2% of 352 carries last season — best in NFL. The Texans allowed 10+ yards on 15.8% of carries to RBs last season — worst in NFL.
The Ravens rushed the ball on 48.1% of plays from scrimmage last season — fourth-highest in NFL. The Texans allowed 5.3 yards per carry last season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Ravens averaged 5.6 yards per carry on 1st Down last season — best in NFL. The Texans allowed 5.4 yards per carry on first down last season — tied for third-worst in NFL.
The Texans had a third down conversion rate of just 30.5% last season — second-worst in NFL. The Ravens defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 34.8% last season — fourth-best in NFL.
Texans RBs rushed for 10 or more yards on just 7.2% of 332 carries last season — third-worst in NFL. The Ravens allowed 10+ yards on just 8.3% of carries to RBs last season — fifth-best in NFL.
The Texans averaged just 3.8 yards per carry last season — second-worst in NFL. The Ravens allowed just 4.0 yards per carry last season — third-best in NFL.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats
The Texans have scored on 27% of their drives since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Texans had a third down conversion rate of 30% in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Texans committed 31 turnovers in the 2022 season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Texans have converted first downs on just 66 of 301 plays (22%) in close and late situations since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Ravens targeted WRs 41% of the time (198 Pass Attempts/488 plays) in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Ravens targeted TEs 42% of the time (203 Pass Attempts/488 plays) in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Ravens have thrown the ball 18% of the time (21 Pass Attempts/119 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Ravens targeted WRs 30% of the time (23 Pass Attempts/76 plays) in the red zone in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats
The Texans defense allowed 178.1 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 128.5.
The Texans defense allowed an average of 26.4 fantasy points per game as a unit to RBs in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17.5.
Offenses facing the Texans threw the ball 46% of the time (522 Pass Attempts/1,131 plays) in the 2022 season — tied for lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Texans defense allowed 170.9 rushing yards per game (2,905/17) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 122.1.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
29% of the plays ran against the Ravens were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
25% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
23% of the plays ran against the Ravens were in the red zone in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Ravens defense has forced 5 fumbles on 764 carries (152.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 71.3.
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