Texans vs Seahawks Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 7

BetMGM Betting Oct 15, 2025, 6:49 PM

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(AP Photo/Scott Eklund)

The Seahawks are -3 point favorites vs the Texans
Total (Over/Under): 41 points
Watch this game on ESPN | ESPD

The Houston Texans (2-3-0) visit Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks (4-2-0) on Oct. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-118).

The Texans vs. Seahawks Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.

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Texans vs. Seahawks Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Texans	+3 -102	41 -115	145
Seahawks	-3 -118	41 -105	-175

Texans vs. Seahawks Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 62.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Texans vs Seahawks Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today

Ka’imi Fairbairn has hit the Field Goals Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)
C.J. Stroud has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.00 Units / 33% ROI)
C.J. Stroud has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 64% ROI)
Dalton Schultz has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 41% ROI)
Nick Chubb has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.40 Units / 73% ROI)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Zach Charbonnet has hit the Carries Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.90 Units / 38% ROI)
Zach Charbonnet has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)

Texans Best Bets:

The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.75 Units / 23% ROI)
The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.50 Units / 18% ROI)
The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.50 Units / 14% ROI)
The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.75 Units / 13% ROI)
The Houston Texans have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 18 games (+1.65 Units / 8% ROI)

Seahawks Best Bets:

The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.90 Units / 24% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.28 Units / 19% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 20% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 20% ROI)

Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans are 2-3 (-1.35 Units / -24.32% ROI).

Texans are 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -17.05% ROI
Texans are 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
Texans are 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / ROI

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks are 4-2 (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

Seahawks are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 17.68% ROI
Seahawks are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Seahawks are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Texans have run 26% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Texans have run 9% of their plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Texans have run successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Texans have run successful plays on 34% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans

The Seahawks have averaged 12.3 yards per play when their QB has scrambled this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.2.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on 28% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Seahawks had a third down conversion rate of 8% in Week 6 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Seahawks converted late downs on just 1 of 54 plays (2%) in Week 6 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Seattle Seahawks