Thanksgiving NFL Games: Predictions, Player Prop Bets & Odds

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 22, 2022, 12:00 PM
  • Predictions for Bills vs Lions, Cowboys vs Giants & Vikings vs Patriots
  • Best player prop bets for key players in all three games
  • Latest odds for spread, over/under & moneyline

There are three NFL games being played on Thanksgiving, with marquee matchups and playoff implications across the slate.

We breakdown win and spread predictions for each game, player prop betting trends plus the latest betting odds.

What NFL games are being played on Thanksgiving?

  • Bills vs Lions at 12:30 PM ET on CBS
  • Giants vs Cowboys at 4:30 PM ET on Fox
  • Patriots vs Vikings at 8:30 PM ET on NBC

Bills vs Lions Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bills will win this Week 12 game with 77.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bills will cover the spread this Week 12 with 53.0% confidence.

Bills vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bills-9.5 -11054 -110-450
Lions +9.5 -11054 -110+340

Best Bills Player Prop Bets

  • Josh Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Josh Allen has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Josh Allen has hit the Carries Over in his last 6 away games (+6.15 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Gabriel Davis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Nyheim Hines has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)

Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets

  • Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.30 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Josh Reynolds has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.05 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 64% ROI)

Bet now Bills vs Lions and all NFL games with BetMGM


Giants vs Cowboys Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread this Week 12 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Giants and Cowboys, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Giants vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Giants+9 -11044.5 -110+310
Cowboys -9 -11044.5 -110-400

Best Giants Player Prop Bets

  • Kenny Golladay has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Kenny Golladay has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games (+7.30 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Saquon Barkley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Daniel Bellinger has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 61% ROI)

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets

  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Noah Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)

Bet now Cowboys vs Giants and all NFL games with BetMGM


Patriots vs Vikings Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 12 game with 65.8% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread this Week 12 with 58.0% confidence.

Patriots vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Patriots+3 -11542.5 -110+135
Vikings -3 -10542.5 -110-160

Best Patriots Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jakobi Meyers has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Mac Jones has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Mac Jones has hit the Interceptions Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.10 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Hunter Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jakobi Meyers has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 32% ROI)

Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alexander Mattison has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Irv Smith has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Alexander Mattison has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • K.J. Osborn has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alexander Mattison has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.10 Units / 24% ROI)

Bet now Vikings vs Patriots and all NFL games with BetMGM


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.