Titans vs Browns Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

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Cleveland Browns' Denzel Ward (21) plays during an NFL football game against the Washington Commanders, Sunday, Jan. 1, 2023, in Landover, Md. Browns top cornerback Denzel Ward cleared concussion protocol and will start in Sunday's season opener against Cincinnati, giving Cleveland's secondary its best player as it tries to stop Joe Burrow and his trio of receivers.
(AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr., File)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 19, 2023, 3:25 PM
  • The Browns are -3 point favorites vs the Titans
  • Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Tennessee Titans (1-1) visit Cleveland Browns Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns (1-1) on Sep. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Browns are betting favorites in this Week 3 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Titans vs. Browns Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

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Titans vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Titans+3 -11039.5 -110+135
Browns -3 -11039.5 -110-160

Titans vs. Browns Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Browns will win this Week 3 game with 60.5% confidence.

Titans vs Browns Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Titans and Browns, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players this Week 3 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 away games (+7.10 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)

Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Chubb has hit the Longest Rush Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Nick Chubb has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Amari Cooper has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.80 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games at home (+3.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans went 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Titans are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 12.5% ROI
  • Titans are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Titans are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns went 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Browns are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -16% ROI
  • Browns are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Browns are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Titans are winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .400.

The Titans are undefeated (4-0) when converting more than 50% of third down conversions since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .714.

The Titans were winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .396.

The Titans were 5-7 (.417) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2022 season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Browns were winless (0-3) when allowing 250 or more passing yards in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.

The Browns are winless (0-5) when allowing 300 or more passing yards since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .431.

The Browns were winless (0-3) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .344.

The Browns were 1-6 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Cleveland Browns

Browns TEs have 104 receptions in 19 games (5.5 per game) since the 2022 season — fifth-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed 5.8 receptions per game to TEs since the 2022 season — third-worst in NFL.

Browns TEs have gained 557 yards after catch since the 2022 season — fourth-most in NFL. The Titans have allowed 2,342 yards after catch since the 2022 season — fourth-most in NFL.

Titans RBs have averaged 1.9 yards after contact per carry since the 2022 season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Browns have allowed 1.9 yards after contact per carry since the 2022 season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Titans have 17 touchdown passes since the 2022 season — tied for second-fewest in NFL. The Browns have allowed 21 passing TDs since the 2022 season — fifth-fewest in NFL.

Titans WRs have just 101.4 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — third-worst in NFL. The Browns have averaged just 129.5 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs since the 2022 season — third-best in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats

The Titans averaged 10.1 drives per TD in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.

The Titans averaged 20.0 drives per TD in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.1.

The Titans averaged 16.7 drives per TD in close and late situations in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

The Titans went three and out 19 times in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — most in NFL.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats

The Browns have run 22 plays on 3rd and long this season — most in NFL.

The Browns have started 4 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Browns have run successful plays on 73% of plays in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Browns have thrown 58% of their pass attempts 1 to 10 yards downfield this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 71%.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats

The Titans defense allowed 290.3 receiving yards per game (4,935/17) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 233.7.

The Titans defense has allowed 291.8 receiving yards per game (5,545/19) since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 234.2.

The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 12% of rush attempts in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Titans defense has allowed a passer rating of 158.3 when they have pressured the QB (6 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41.4.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats

The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 23% of plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 26% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

No plays were run against the Browns were in Browns territory this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 22% of rush attempts this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.