Titans vs Chargers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 10

Rice player number 10 about to throw a NFL game ball with Rice players number 25 and 13 running in the background.
(AP Photo/Jack Dempsey)
  • The Chargers are -7.5 point favorites vs the Titans
  • Total (Over/Under): 38 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Tennessee Titans (2-6-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (5-3-0) on Nov. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Inglewood, CA.

The Chargers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Titans vs. Chargers Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.

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Titans vs. Chargers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Titans+7.5 -11038 -110+300
Chargers -7.5 -11038 -110-375

Titans vs. Chargers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Titans vs Chargers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today

  • Will Levis has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Mason Rudolph has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Nick Folk has hit the Field Goals Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Will Levis has hit the Passing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.20 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • D.J. Chark has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Will Dissly has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Hayden Hurst has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Josh Palmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+12.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+3.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+2.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 4Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.90 Units / 21% ROI)

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans art 1-7 (-6.65 Units / -76.88% ROI).

  • Titans are 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -47.42% ROI
  • Titans are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI
  • Titans are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / ROI

Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers are 5-2 (+2.8 Units / 31.82% ROI).

  • Chargers are 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 13.58% ROI
  • Chargers are 1-7 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI
  • Chargers are 7-1 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

The Titans were 1-2 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Titans were winless (0-8) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.

The Titans are winless (0-3) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

The Titans are 1-8 (.111) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.

Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Chargers were winless (0-9) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.

The Chargers are winless (0-8) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Chargers were 1-8 (.111) when allowing 3 or more sacks last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .350.

The Chargers were winless (0-11) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers have run successful plays on just 37.4% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on just 38.8% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Chargers have run successful plays on just 37.4% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on just 38.8% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Chargers have run successful plays on just 37.4% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on just 38.8% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 32.7% this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chargers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 32.4% this season — T-4th-best in NFL.

The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 11.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Chargers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 12.4% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 11.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Chargers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 12.4% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats

The Titans have run 32% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Titans have run 34% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Titans allowed a QB hit on 29% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Titans have run 30% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats

The Chargers have started 9 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 1st half this season — most in NFL.

The Chargers have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Chargers have run successful plays on 26% of plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Chargers have run successful plays on 25% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats

The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 28% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 46% on 3rd and short since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 33% of pass attempts against play action passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 37% on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats

The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 19% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.

The Chargers defense have allowed -0.23 epa per play on motion plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.00.

The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 45.8 with a stacked front (16 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 110.0.

The Chargers defense has sacked opposing QBs on 55% of pass attempts (24/44) when they have pressured the QB this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.