Titans vs Chiefs Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 02, 2022, 1:27 PM
  • The Chiefs (5-2) are -12.5 point favorites vs the Titans (5-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBC

The Tennessee Titans (5-2) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (5-2) on Nov. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Chiefs are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Titans vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.

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Titans vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Titans+12.5 -11046.5 -110+450
Chiefs -12.5 -11046.5 -110-650

Titans vs. Chiefs Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 9 game with 81.0% confidence.

Titans vs Chiefs Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread this Week 9 with 56.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Titans and Chiefs, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Robert Woods has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Kadarius Toney has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Mecole Hardman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Skyy Moore has hit the Receptions Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+3.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.05 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.00 Units / 27% ROI)

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans have gone 5-2 (+2.75 Units / 35.48% ROI).

  • Titans are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 26.92% ROI
  • Titans are 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • Titans are 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / ROI

Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs have gone 3-4 (-1.45 Units / -18.71% ROI).

  • Chiefs are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 13.28% ROI
  • Chiefs are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Chiefs are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs

The Titans are winless (0-2) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .415.

The Titans are 2-1 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .284.

The Titans are undefeated (8-0) when scoring 27 or more points since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .801.

The Titans are 4-1 (.800) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .514.

Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Chiefs are 2-2 (.500) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .203.

The Chiefs are 9-6 (.600) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .284.

The Chiefs are 3-1 (.750) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .594.

The Chiefs were 5-1 (.833) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .471.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed 2.2 yards after contact per carry this season — tied for second-worst in NFL.

Chiefs RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed 2.4 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — third-worst in NFL.

Chiefs TEs have 92.9 receiving yards per game this season — best in NFL. The Titans have allowed an average of65.0 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Titans TEs have averaged just 3.0 yards after the catch this season — tied for worst in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed just 3.9 yards after catch per reception to TEs this season — fourth-best in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Titans have converted first downs on just 15 of 95 plays (16%) in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Titans have converted first downs on just 11 of 79 plays (14%) in close and late situations this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Titans have not recorded a TD in 21 drives in close and late situations this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.

The Titans have run successful plays on 27% of plays in close and late situations this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Chiefs have scored on 69% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 55% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Chiefs have converted first downs on 18 of 38 plays (47%) on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 53% since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 31% on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 26% this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Titans defense has allowed first downs on just 31% of plays on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

The Titans defense has allowed first downs on just 26% of plays on 3rd down this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Chiefs defense has allowed 7.6 receptions per game (53/7) to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.

The Chiefs defense allowed successful plays on 51% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Chiefs defense has allowed 14 TD passes in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Chiefs defense has averaged a sack every 61.5 pass attempts (123 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) in the red zone since the 2021 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 18.1.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.