Titans vs Jaguars Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 07, 2023, 9:41 AM
  • The Jaguars (8-8) are -6.5 point favorites vs the Titans (7-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 40 points
  • Watch the Saturday game on ABC

The Tennessee Titans (7-9) visit TIAA Bank Field to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (8-8) on Saturday, Jan. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Jacksonville.

The Jaguars are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Titans vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

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Titans vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Titans+6.5 -11039.5 -110+225
Jaguars -6.5 -11039.5 -110-275

Titans vs. Jaguars Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this Week 18 game with 69.3% confidence.

Titans vs Jaguars Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread this Week 18 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Titans and Jaguars, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Robert Woods has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 36% ROI)

Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Travis Etienne has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jaguars vs Titans

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Travis Etienne +425
Derrick Henry +475
Christian Kirk +800
Evan Engram +1000
Zay Jones +1000

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jaguars vs Titans

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Travis Etienne -130
Derrick Henry -130
Christian Kirk +155
Zay Jones +180
Evan Engram +210

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Jaguars vs Titans

Player Name Over Under
Derrick Henry 14.5 -110 14.5 -120
Austin Hooper 24.5 -120 24.5 -115
Marvin Jones Jr. 28.5 -115 28.5 -115
Travis Etienne 14.5 -110 14.5 -120
Chig Okonkwo 24.5 -115 24.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Jaguars vs Titans

Player Name Over Under
Trevor Lawrence 14.5 -120 14.5 -110
Derrick Henry 91.5 -115 91.5 -115
Josh Dobbs 15.5 -120 15.5 -110
Travis Etienne 65.5 -115 65.5 -115
JaMycal Hasty 7.5 -105 7.5 -125
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 17 games (+14.80 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+7.30 Units / 101% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+10.35 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+7.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+7.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 31% ROI)

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans have gone 8-7 (0.1 Units / 0.56% ROI).

  • Titans are 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -17.54% ROI
  • Titans are 5-11 when betting the Over for -7.1 Units / -40.34% ROI
  • Titans are 11-5 when betting the Under for 5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 8-8 (-0.8 Units / -4.57% ROI).

  • Jaguars are 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for 0.85 Units / 4.25% ROI
  • Jaguars are 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.85 Units / -4.82% ROI
  • Jaguars are 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.56% ROI

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Titans are winless (0-3) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .397.

The Titans are winless (0-3) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.

The Titans are winless (0-1) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .367.

The Titans are 1-6 (.143) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Jaguars are 4-5 (.444) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .763.

The Jaguars are 3-6 (.333) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Jaguars are 1-6 (.143) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .274.

The Jaguars are 7-5 (.583) when underdogs this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .348.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Jaguars TEs have 59.1 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed an average of72.5 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — worst in NFL.

Jaguars TEs have 99.0 receiving yards per game since Week 14 — second-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed an average of97.0 receiving yards per game to TEs since Week 14 — second-worst in NFL.

Jaguars TEs have 30 receptions in 4 games (7.5 per game) since Week 14 — third-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed 8.2 receptions per game to TEs since Week 14 — second-worst in NFL.

The Titans have scored on 20.8% of their drives since Week 14 — second-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed scores on 23.4% of opponent drives since Week 14 — third-best in NFL.

The Titans have scored on 13.3% of their drives in the fourth quarter since Week 14 — fourth-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed scores on 15.4% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since Week 14 — fourth-best in NFL.

The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 0.0% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since Week 14 — tied for worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 7.7% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since Week 14 — fourth-best in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Titans have converted first downs on just 33 of 179 plays (18%) in close and late situations this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Titans have gone three and out 19 times in the 3rd quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Titans are averaging 9.5 drives per TD in the 2nd half this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.

The Titans are averaging 18.7 drives per TD in the 4th quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.1.

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Jaguars ran 39% of their plays in their opponent’s territory last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Jaguars ran 37% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Jaguars had a third down conversion rate of 36% last season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Jaguars ran 11% of their plays in the red zone last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Titans defense has allowed 295.2 receiving yards per game (4,723/16) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 235.4.

The Titans defense has allowed 279.2 passing yards per game (4,468/16) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 219.4.

The Titans defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 3 times last season — fewest in NFL.

The Titans defense has allowed 4,468 passing yards this season — most in NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats for Week 18

Only 12% of the plays ran against the Jaguars were in their own territory in Week 17 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Jaguars defense intercepted 6 of 542 attempts (90.3 pass attempts per int.) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.6.

The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 57% in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Jaguars defense allowed a Completion Pct of 75% (76 completions/101 attempts) in close and late situations last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 64%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.