Titans vs Jaguars Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 18

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 07, 2023, 9:41 AM
  • The Jaguars (8-8) are -6.5 point favorites vs the Titans (7-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 40 points
  • Watch the Saturday game on ABC

The Tennessee Titans (7-9) visit TIAA Bank Field to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (8-8) on Saturday, Jan. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Jacksonville.

The Jaguars are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Titans vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Jaguars vs Titans & all NFL games with BetMGM

Titans vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Titans+6.5 -11039.5 -110+225
Jaguars -6.5 -11039.5 -110-275

Titans vs. Jaguars Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this Week 18 game with 69.3% confidence.

Titans vs Jaguars Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread this Week 18 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Titans and Jaguars, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Jaguars vs Titans and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Robert Woods has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 36% ROI)

Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Travis Etienne has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jaguars vs Titans

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Travis Etienne +425
Derrick Henry +475
Christian Kirk +800
Evan Engram +1000
Zay Jones +1000

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jaguars vs Titans

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Travis Etienne -130
Derrick Henry -130
Christian Kirk +155
Zay Jones +180
Evan Engram +210

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Jaguars vs Titans

Player Name Over Under
Derrick Henry 14.5 -110 14.5 -120
Austin Hooper 24.5 -120 24.5 -115
Marvin Jones Jr. 28.5 -115 28.5 -115
Travis Etienne 14.5 -110 14.5 -120
Chig Okonkwo 24.5 -115 24.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Jaguars vs Titans

Player Name Over Under
Trevor Lawrence 14.5 -120 14.5 -110
Derrick Henry 91.5 -115 91.5 -115
Josh Dobbs 15.5 -120 15.5 -110
Travis Etienne 65.5 -115 65.5 -115
JaMycal Hasty 7.5 -105 7.5 -125
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 17 games (+14.80 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+7.30 Units / 101% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+10.35 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+7.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+7.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 31% ROI)

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans have gone 8-7 (0.1 Units / 0.56% ROI).

  • Titans are 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -17.54% ROI
  • Titans are 5-11 when betting the Over for -7.1 Units / -40.34% ROI
  • Titans are 11-5 when betting the Under for 5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 8-8 (-0.8 Units / -4.57% ROI).

  • Jaguars are 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for 0.85 Units / 4.25% ROI
  • Jaguars are 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.85 Units / -4.82% ROI
  • Jaguars are 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.56% ROI

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Titans are winless (0-3) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .397.

The Titans are winless (0-3) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.

The Titans are winless (0-1) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .367.

The Titans are 1-6 (.143) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Jaguars are 4-5 (.444) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .763.

The Jaguars are 3-6 (.333) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Jaguars are 1-6 (.143) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .274.

The Jaguars are 7-5 (.583) when underdogs this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .348.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Jaguars TEs have 59.1 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed an average of72.5 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — worst in NFL.

Jaguars TEs have 99.0 receiving yards per game since Week 14 — second-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed an average of97.0 receiving yards per game to TEs since Week 14 — second-worst in NFL.

Jaguars TEs have 30 receptions in 4 games (7.5 per game) since Week 14 — third-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed 8.2 receptions per game to TEs since Week 14 — second-worst in NFL.

The Titans have scored on 20.8% of their drives since Week 14 — second-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed scores on 23.4% of opponent drives since Week 14 — third-best in NFL.

The Titans have scored on 13.3% of their drives in the fourth quarter since Week 14 — fourth-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed scores on 15.4% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since Week 14 — fourth-best in NFL.

The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 0.0% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since Week 14 — tied for worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 7.7% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since Week 14 — fourth-best in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Titans have converted first downs on just 33 of 179 plays (18%) in close and late situations this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Titans have gone three and out 19 times in the 3rd quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Titans are averaging 9.5 drives per TD in the 2nd half this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.

The Titans are averaging 18.7 drives per TD in the 4th quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.1.

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Jaguars ran 39% of their plays in their opponent’s territory last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Jaguars ran 37% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Jaguars had a third down conversion rate of 36% last season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Jaguars ran 11% of their plays in the red zone last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Titans defense has allowed 295.2 receiving yards per game (4,723/16) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 235.4.

The Titans defense has allowed 279.2 passing yards per game (4,468/16) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 219.4.

The Titans defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 3 times last season — fewest in NFL.

The Titans defense has allowed 4,468 passing yards this season — most in NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats for Week 18

Only 12% of the plays ran against the Jaguars were in their own territory in Week 17 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Jaguars defense intercepted 6 of 542 attempts (90.3 pass attempts per int.) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.6.

The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 57% in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Jaguars defense allowed a Completion Pct of 75% (76 completions/101 attempts) in close and late situations last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 64%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Jaguars vs Titans and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.