Titans vs Jaguars Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 18

BetMGM Betting Dec 31, 2025, 4:12 PM

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Footballs are viewed on the field before an NFL football game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Tennessee Titans, Sunday, Dec. 29, 2024, in Jacksonville, Fla. (AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)

(AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)

The Jaguars are -12.5 point favorites vs the Titans
Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Tennessee Titans (3-13-0) visit EverBank Stadium to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (12-4-0) on Jan. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Jacksonville, FL.

The Jaguars are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Titans vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.

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Titans vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Titans vs. Jaguars Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this game with 78.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Titans vs Jaguars Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today

Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.50 Units / 43% ROI)
Tyjae Spears has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 52% ROI)
Cameron Ward has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.60 Units / 75% ROI)
Tony Pollard has hit the Longest Rush Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
Cameron Ward has hit the Completions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today

Trevor Lawrence has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 67% ROI)
Parker Washington has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 51% ROI)
Travis Etienne has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)
Trevor Lawrence has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Bhayshul Tuten has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 40% ROI)

Titans Best Bets:

The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.55 Units / 24% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 17 games (+4.14 Units / 24% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)

Jaguars Best Bets:

The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+7.30 Units / 33% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.75 Units / 29% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.37 Units / 32% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 24% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.52 Units / 16% ROI)

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans are 7-9 (-2.9 Units / -16.38% ROI).

Titans are 3-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -40.68% ROI
Titans are 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI
Titans are 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / ROI

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars are 11-5 (+5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI).

Jaguars are 12-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.9 Units / 34.62% ROI
Jaguars are 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI
Jaguars are 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Titans have run successful plays on 34% of plays on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Titans are averaging 5.4 drives per TD this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 2.5.

The Titans have run successful plays on 33% of plays in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Titans have a third down conversion rate of 27% on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Jaguars have an average drive start position from the 31.8 yard line this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 49.2.

The Jaguars have run 1,018 plays this season — fewest in NFL.

The Jaguars have an average time of possession of 31 min and 32 s this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 3,085.

The Jaguars have an average drive start position from the 28.1 yard line in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47.7.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars