Titans vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11, TNF

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 17, 2022, 2:00 PM
  • The Packers (4-6) are -3 point favorites vs the Titans (6-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 42 points
  • Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video

The Tennessee Titans (7-3) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (4-7) on Nov. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Green Bay for Thursday Night Football.

The are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Titans vs. Packers Over/Under is total points for the game.

Bet now on Packers vs Titans & all NFL games with BetMGM

Titans vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Titans
Packers

Titans vs. Packers Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 11 game with 62.3% confidence.

Titans vs Packers Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread this Week 11 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Titans and Packers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Packers vs Titans and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Robert Woods has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Robert Woods has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Austin Hooper has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.75 Units / 25% ROI)

Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Josiah Deguara has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Packers vs Titans

Player Name Over Under
Derrick Henry 11.5 -110 11.5 -120
Robert Woods 33.5 -110 33.5 -120
Chig Okonkwo 10.5 -110 10.5 -120
Robert Tonyan 27.5 -115 27.5 -115
AJ Dillon 8.5 -115 8.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Packers vs Titans

Player Name Over Under
AJ Dillon 33.5 -110 33.5 -120
Derrick Henry 97.5 -115 97.5 -115
Aaron Jones 57.5 -115 57.5 -120
Aaron Rodgers 2.5 -110 2.5 -120
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have scored last in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 24% ROI)

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans have gone 7-2 (+4.75 Units / 47.74% ROI).

  • Titans are 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 21.4% ROI
  • Titans are 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
  • Titans are 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / ROI

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers have gone 4-6 (-2.6 Units / -23.74% ROI).

  • Packers are 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -35.96% ROI
  • Packers are 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Packers are 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Titans are 3-1 (.750) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .283.

The Titans are winless (0-3) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .411.

The Titans are winless (0-1) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .370.

The Titans are winless (0-3) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .412.

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Packers are 11-1 (.917) at home since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .529.

The Packers are 2-4 (.333) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.

The Packers are 3-1 (.750) at home this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .559.

The Packers are winless (0-3) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .207.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Green Bay Packers

The Packers have scored on 29.6% of their drives in the first half this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Titans defense has allowed scores on 28% of opponent drives in the first half this season — third-best in NFL.

The Packers have scored on 19.2% of their drives in the first quarter this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Titans defense has allowed scores on 17.4% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — third-best in NFL.

The Packers have 4 rushing touchdowns this season — tied for second-fewest in NFL. The Titans have allowed 2 rushing TDs this season — fewest in NFL.

The Titans have gone three and out on 31.1% of their drives this season — worst in NFL. Packers have forced three and outs on 31.8% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL.

The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 33.9% this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 33.3% this season — third-best in NFL.

The Titans have thrown for 1,493 passing yards in 9 games (just 165.9 YPG) this season — second-worst in NFL. The Packers have allowed just 179.7 passing yards per game this season — third-best in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Titans have converted first downs on just 19 of 124 plays (15%) in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Titans have run 33% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Titans went three and out on 46% of their drives in Week 10 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Titans are averaging 13.5 drives per TD in the 2nd half this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.6.

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

17 of the Packers offense’s 21 (81%) TDs have come through the air this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

The Packers ran successful plays on 54% of plays in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Packers were flagged 29 times on offense last season — fewest in NFL.

The Packers converted first downs on 45 of 65 plays (69%) on 3rd and short last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Titans defense has allowed first downs on 42% of rush attempts on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 67%.

The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 34% on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

Opponents have run the ball against The Titans defense on just 32% of plays (187 carries/586 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Titans defense has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 24 carries (12 Carries Per TD) in the red zone this season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Packers defense have forced three and outs on 32% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

26% of the plays run against the Packers have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 when the opposing QB has scrambled (13 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 58.3.

The Packers defense allowed first downs on 31% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Packers vs Titans and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.