Titans vs Saints Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 1

min read
(AP Photo/Matt Durisko)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 3:05 PM
  • The Saints are -3 point favorites vs the Titans
  • Total (Over/Under): 41 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Tennessee Titans (0-0) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (0-0) on Sep. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in New Orleans.

The Saints are betting favorites in this Week 1 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-120).

The Titans vs. Saints Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.

Bet now on Saints vs Titans & all NFL games with BetMGM

Titans vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Titans+3 +10041 -110+145
Saints -3 -12041 -110-175

Titans vs. Saints Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Saints will win this Week 1 game with 58.8% confidence.

Titans vs Saints Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Titans and Saints, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Saints vs Titans and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players this Week 1 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 away games (+7.10 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)

Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jarvis Landry has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.15 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Alvin Kamara has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jarvis Landry has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.20 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Juwan Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 44% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Saints vs Titans

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Derrick Henry +550
Jamaal Williams +900
Chris Olave +1000
Michael Thomas +1100
Rashid Shaheed +1100

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Saints vs Titans

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Derrick Henry -165
Jamaal Williams +150
Chris Olave +160
DeAndre Hopkins +175
Michael Thomas +180
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 17 games (+14.80 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+8.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+6.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have scored first in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+1.80 Units / 11% ROI)

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Titans went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Titans are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 25.97% ROI
  • Titans are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Titans are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Saints went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI).

  • Saints are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 19.75% ROI
  • Saints are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Saints are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

The Titans were winless (0-3) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .398.

The Titans were winless (0-6) vs top 10 offenses in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .315.

The Titans were 3-6 (.333) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The Titans were winless (0-3) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .388.

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Saints were 1-3 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .416.

The Saints were 2-6 (.250) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.

The Saints were 4-2 (.667) vs top 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .432.

The Saints are 1-3-1 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. New Orleans Saints

The Saints averaged just 3.9 yards per carry last season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Titans allowed just 3.5 yards per carry last season — tied for best in NFL.

Saints RBs averaged just 75.5 rushing yards per game last season — third-worst in NFL. The Titans allowed an average of just 77.8 rushing yards per game last season — best in NFL.

Saints TEs had 10 receiving touchdowns last season — tied for fourth-most in NFL. The Titans allowed 29 receiving touchdowns last season — tied for second-most in NFL.

The Titans ran just 39.0% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last season — third-worst in NFL. Saints allowed their opponents to runjust 40.3% of plays in their territory last season — third-best in NFL.

Titans RBs averaged 2.1 yards after contact per carry last season — third-best in NFL. The Saints allowed 2.2 yards after contact per carry last season — second-worst in NFL.

The Titans averaged just 315 yards from scrimmage per game (5,358 YFS / 17 G) last season — third-worst in NFL. The Saints allowed an average of just 332.1 yards from scrimmage per game (5,645/17) last season — fifth-best in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats

The Titans scored on 18% of their drives in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 34%.

The Titans averaged 10.1 drives per TD in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.

The Titans converted first downs on just 37 of 201 plays (18%) in close and late situations in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Titans went three and out 19 times in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — most in NFL.

New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats

The Saints were sacked on 24% of pass attempts (5/21) in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Saints converted first downs on just 4 of 40 plays (10%) on plays up the middle in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Saints have run 8% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Saints did not score on any drive in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats

The Titans defense allowed 290.3 receiving yards per game (4,935/17) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 233.7.

The Titans defense allowed 274.8 passing yards per game (4,671/17) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 217.8.

The Titans defense allowed successful plays on 36% of plays in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Offenses facing the Titans threw the ball 61% of the time (671 Pass Attempts/1,097 plays) in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats

The Saints defense allowed first downs on 58% of rush attempts on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Saints defense allowed a passer rating of just 52.1 (104 Pass Attempts) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 85.6.

The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 7% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Saints defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 14% (1 completions/7 attempts) in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Saints vs Titans and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting.

From future like AFC Championship odds and NFC Championship odds to weekly betting on spreads, moneylines and parlays, there are thousands of opportunities for all fans.

And with the best sportsbook promos, you can get bigger potential payouts, Bonus Bets and more.

Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM Sportsbook iOS app or BetMGM Google Play app — to start betting!

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.