Titans vs Texans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 30, 2022, 10:00 AM
  • The are point favorites vs the
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The visit NRG Stadium to take on the on Oct. 30. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Houston.

The are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Titans vs. Texans Over/Under is 39 total points for the game.

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vs. Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Titans+1 -11539 -110-110
Texans -1 -10539 -110-110

vs. Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Titans will win this Week 8 game with 62.0% confidence.

vs Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread this Week 8 with 60.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Titans and Texans, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Robert Woods has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Davis Mills has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 5 games at home (+8.10 Units / 162% ROI)
  • Davis Mills has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Davis Mills has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Nico Collins has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Texans vs Titans

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Kyle Philips
    Derrick Henry +350
    Dameon Pierce +600
    Brandin Cooks +800
    Treylon Burks

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Texans vs Titans

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Derrick Henry -225
    Treylon Burks
    Dameon Pierce -140
    Brandin Cooks +110
    Robert Woods +175

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Texans vs Titans

    Player Name Over Under
    Derrick Henry 11.5 -110 11.5 -120
    Dameon Pierce 15.5 -115 15.5 -115
    Brandin Cooks 58.5 -115 58.5 -115
    Brevin Jordan 17.5 -120 17.5 -110
    Rex Burkhead 20.5 -115 20.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Texans vs Titans

    Player Name Over Under
    Dameon Pierce 69.5 -115 69.5 -120
    Rex Burkhead 8.5 -105 8.5 -125
    Derrick Henry 104.5 -115 104.5 -115
    Malik Willis 43.5 -120 43.5 -110
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+10.70 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+8.65 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 4-2 (+1.75 Units / 26.32% ROI).

    • are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 18.35% ROI
    • are 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
    • are 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / ROI

    Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 11.94% ROI).

    • are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -23.33% ROI
    • are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.35 Units / -5.26% ROI
    • are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.58% ROI

    Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans

    The Titans are 2-1 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .283.

    The Titans are 8-4 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season — tied for ninth-best in NFL. The Texans have averaged just 1.9 sacks per game over that time span — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

    The Titans are 3-1 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .518.

    The Titans are winless (0-2) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .419.

    Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

    The Texans are 1-15-1 (.059) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

    The Texans are winless (0-7-1) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .377.

    The Texans are 1-5 (.167) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .634.

    The Texans are 1-5-1 (.143) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans

    Texans RBs have averaged 2.3 yards after contact per carry this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed 2.1 yards after contact per carry this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

    The Texans have a third down conversion rate of just 10.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL. The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 15.4% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2021 season — tied for third-best in NFL.

    Texans RBs have averaged 2.3 yards after contact per carry this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

    The Titans have rushed the ball on 49.6% of plays from scrimmage this season — fifth-highest in NFL. The Texans have allowed 5.6 yards per carry this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

    The Titans have rushed the ball on 47.8% of plays from scrimmage since the 2021 season — second-highest in NFL. The Texans have allowed 5.0 yards per carry since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL.

    Titans RBs have averaged 117.6 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — second-best in NFL. The Texans have allowed an average of 149.3 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — worst in NFL.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Titans have converted first downs on just 13 of 82 plays (16%) in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

    The Titans have not recorded a TD in 20 drives in the 4th quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.

    The Titans have run successful plays on 34% of plays in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Titans have run 30% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Texans ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Texans have run successful plays on 31% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Texans ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Texans ran successful plays on 37% of plays last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 30% on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

    The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 28% this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

    The Titans defense has allowed first downs on just 28% of plays on 3rd down this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

    The Titans defense has allowed a passer rating of just 34.5 on 3rd down (52 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 87.6.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Texans defense has allowed a passer rating of just 5.9 when they have pressured the QB (31 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 51.4.

    The Texans defense has allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

    The Texans defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (9 completions/26 attempts) in the red zone this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

    Offenses facing the Texans threw the ball 50% of the time (545 Pass Attempts/1,098 plays) last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.