- The Chargers are -3.5 point favorites vs the Vikings
- Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
- Watch this game on Amazon
The Minnesota Vikings (3-3-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (4-3-0) on Oct. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Inglewood, CA.
The Chargers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-102).
The Vikings vs. Chargers Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Chargers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | +3.5 -118 | 44.5 -105 | 150 |
| Chargers | -3.5 -102 | 44.5 -115 | -185 |
Vikings vs. Chargers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this game with 59.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Vikings vs Chargers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
- Jordan Addison has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Jordan Mason has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Will Reichard has hit the Field Goals Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.25 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Keenan Allen has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Keenan Allen has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ladd McConkey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ladd McConkey has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chargers vs Vikings
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Carson Wentz (MIN) | +5000 |
| Jordan Mason (MIN) | +700 |
| Zavier Scott (MIN) | +3300 |
| Justin Jefferson (Min) | +850 |
| Jordan Addison (Min) | +1100 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Chargers vs Vikings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Keenan Allen (LAC) | 52.5 -115 | 52.5 -115 |
| Jordan Addison (MIN) | 52.5 -118 | 52.5 -110 |
| Quentin Johnston (LAC) | 46.5 -118 | 46.5 -110 |
| Ladd McConkey (LAC) | 56.5 -110 | 56.5 -118 |
| Justin Jefferson (MIN) | 79.5 -115 | 79.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Chargers vs Vikings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert (LAC) | 16.5 -110 | 16.5 -120 |
| Kimani Vidal (LAC) | 55.5 -115 | 55.5 -115 |
| Carson Wentz (MIN) | 11.5 -115 | 11.5 -115 |
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.23 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.15 Units / 18% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 3-3 (-0.4 Units / -5.97% ROI).
- Vikings are 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -13.07% ROI
- Vikings are 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
- Vikings are 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / ROI
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers are 3-4 (-1.4 Units / -17.95% ROI).
- Chargers are 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -11.67% ROI
- Chargers are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Chargers are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers have run the ball on 34% of plays (154 carries/456 plays) this season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Chargers have thrown the ball 60% of the time (275 Pass Attempts/456 plays) this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
The Chargers have thrown the ball 26% of the time (25 Pass Attempts/98 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers have rushed for 20+ yards 6 times since Week 4 — most in NFL.
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Chargers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 30.5% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Vikings have pressured opposing QBs on 32.3% of passing plays this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Chargers threw the ball 74.3% of the time last week — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Vikings allowed 13.7 yards per dropback last week — worst in NFL.
Chargers WRs have 325 receptions in 24 games (13.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 13.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 30.5% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Vikings have pressured opposing QBs on 32.3% of passing plays this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Chargers threw the ball 74.3% of the time last week — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Vikings allowed 13.7 yards per dropback last week — worst in NFL.
Chargers WRs have 325 receptions in 24 games (13.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 13.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Chargers have run the ball on 34% of plays (154 carries/456 plays) this season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Chargers have thrown the ball 60% of the time (275 Pass Attempts/456 plays) this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
The Chargers have thrown the ball 26% of the time (25 Pass Attempts/98 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers have rushed for 20+ yards 6 times since Week 4 — most in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers have run the ball on 34% of plays (154 carries/456 plays) this season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Chargers have thrown the ball 60% of the time (275 Pass Attempts/456 plays) this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
The Chargers have thrown the ball 26% of the time (25 Pass Attempts/98 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers have rushed for 20+ yards 6 times since Week 4 — most in NFL.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 30.5% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Vikings have pressured opposing QBs on 32.3% of passing plays this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Chargers threw the ball 74.3% of the time last week — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Vikings allowed 13.7 yards per dropback last week — worst in NFL.
Chargers WRs have 325 receptions in 24 games (13.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 13.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers have run the ball on 34% of plays (154 carries/456 plays) this season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Chargers have thrown the ball 60% of the time (275 Pass Attempts/456 plays) this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
The Chargers have thrown the ball 26% of the time (25 Pass Attempts/98 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers have rushed for 20+ yards 6 times since Week 4 — most in NFL.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 30.5% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Vikings have pressured opposing QBs on 32.3% of passing plays this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Chargers threw the ball 74.3% of the time last week — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Vikings allowed 13.7 yards per dropback last week — worst in NFL.
Chargers WRs have 325 receptions in 24 games (13.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 13.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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