- The Vikings (4-1) are -3 point favorites vs the Dolphins (3-2)
- Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Minnesota Vikings (4-1) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins (3-2) on Oct. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Miami Gardens.
The Vikings are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Vikings vs. Dolphins Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Dolphins Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 6
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | -3 -110 | 45.5 -110 | -165 |
| Dolphins | +3 -110 | 45.5 -110 | +140 |
Vikings vs. Dolphins Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 6 game with 65.8% confidence.
Vikings vs Dolphins Spread Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread this Week 6 with 58.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Vikings and Dolphins, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dolphins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Dolphins vs Vikings
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Chase Edmonds | +600 |
| Justin Jefferson | +600 |
| Dalvin Cook | +650 |
| Raheem Mostert | +700 |
| Tyreek Hill | +900 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Dolphins vs Vikings
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | -150 |
| Chase Edmonds | -140 |
| Dalvin Cook | -125 |
| Raheem Mostert | +105 |
| Adam Thielen | +120 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Dolphins vs Vikings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Thielen | 53.5 -115 | 53.5 -115 |
| Tyreek Hill | 63.5 -115 | 63.5 -115 |
| Mike Gesicki | 19.5 -105 | 19.5 -125 |
| Irv Smith Jr. | 31.5 -115 | 31.5 -115 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 49.5 -115 | 49.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Dolphins vs Vikings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Dalvin Cook | 76.5 -110 | 76.5 -120 |
| Raheem Mostert | 59.5 -110 | 59.5 -120 |
| Kirk Cousins | 2.5 -125 | 2.5 -105 |
| Alexander Mattison | 15.5 -120 | 15.5 -110 |
| Skylar Thompson | 12.5 -110 | 12.5 -120 |
Vikings Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
Dolphins Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings have gone 1-4 (-3.5 Units / -62.5% ROI).
- Vikings are 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 27.4% ROI
- Vikings are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Vikings are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI
Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins have gone 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.29% ROI).
- Dolphins are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 24.8% ROI
- Dolphins are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Dolphins are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Vikings are undefeated (4-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .551.
The Vikings are 3-1 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .521.
The Vikings are 4-2 (.667) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays since the 2021 season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .580.
The Vikings are 2-5 (.286) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .415.
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Dolphins were 6-1 (.857) vs bottom 10 run defenses last season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .635.
The Dolphins are 3-1 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .521.
The Dolphins were 4-2 (.667) vs top 10 defenses last season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .447.
The Dolphins are 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .580.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins have run successful plays on 47.9% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL. Vikings have allowed successful plays on 52.4% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Dolphins have an average drive start position from the 20.2 yard line this season — worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed an average drive start position from the 23.6 yard line this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.
The Dolphins have an average drive start position from the 25.0 yard line since the 2021 season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed an average drive start position from the 24.9 yard line since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.
The Vikings ran successful plays on 59.5% of pass attempts last week — best in NFL. Dolphins allowed successful plays on 52.4% of pass attempts in Week 3 — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.
The Vikings have thrown the ball 10 yards or less 77.0% of pass attempts this season — second-highest in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed 8.4 yards per dropback on pass attempts between 1 and 10 yards this season — worst in NFL.
The Vikings are averaging 6.2 yards per carry on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — best in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed 5.0 yards per carry when defending on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats for Week 6
The Vikings have not recorded a TD in 12 drives in the 3rd quarter this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Vikings have an average drive start position from the 39.2 yard line in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24.8.
The Vikings had a third down conversion rate of 80% in Week 5 — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Vikings converted first downs on just 30 of 57 plays (53%) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.
Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats for Week 6
The Dolphins ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 1st half last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Dolphins have an average drive start position from the 14.8 yard line in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25.1.
The Dolphins ran successful plays on 33% of rush attempts last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Dolphins have an average drive start position from the 12.3 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25.2.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats for Week 6
The Vikings defense allowed 200.7 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 160.3.
The Vikings defense tackled opponents for a loss on just 29 of 468 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) last season. — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
The Vikings defense has allowed first downs on 64% of rush attempts in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
The Vikings defense has allowed first downs on 50% of plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 30%.
Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats for Week 6
25% of the plays ran against the Dolphins were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Dolphins defense have forced three and outs on 6% of opponent drives this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Dolphins defense has pressured opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
The Dolphins defense allowed at least 5 yards on 37% of first down plays last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
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