Vikings vs Lions Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 11, 2022, 11:59 AM
  • The Lions (5-7) are -2.5 point favorites vs the Vikings (10-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 53 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Minnesota Vikings visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions on Dec. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Detroit.

The Lions are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The Vikings vs. Lions Over/Under is 51.5 total points for the game.

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Vikings vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 14

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Vikings+2 -11051.5 -110+110
Lions -2 -11051.5 -110-130

Vikings vs. Lions Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 14 game with 50.0% confidence.

Vikings vs Lions Spread Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread this Week 14 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Vikings and Lions, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kirk Cousins has hit the Interceptions Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • K.J. Osborn has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Dalvin Cook has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Kirk Cousins has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Irv Smith has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 102% ROI)

Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.50 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 53% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Lions vs Vikings

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Jamaal Williams +550
Dalvin Cook +750
Amon-Ra St. Brown +800
D'Andre Swift +800
Justin Jefferson +800

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Lions vs Vikings

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Dalvin Cook -145
Justin Jefferson -140
Jamaal Williams -130
D'Andre Swift -115
Amon-Ra St. Brown -110

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Lions vs Vikings

Player Name Over Under
K.J. Osborn 23.5 -120 23.5 -110
Dalvin Cook 15.5 -115 15.5 -115
TJ Hockenson 48.5 -120 48.5 -110
D'Andre Swift 24.5 -145 24.5 +110
Adam Thielen 51.5 -115 51.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Lions vs Vikings

Player Name Over Under
Kirk Cousins 2.5 -110 2.5 -120
Jamaal Williams 47.5 -115 47.5 -120
Jared Goff 3.5 -110 3.5 -120
Dalvin Cook 73.5 -115 73.5 -115
D'Andre Swift 31.5 -115 31.5 -115
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+10.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.15 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have scored first in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have scored first in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.20 Units / 65% ROI)

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings have gone 6-5 (+0.4 Units / 3% ROI).

  • Vikings are 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 43.87% ROI
  • Vikings are 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • Vikings are 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / ROI

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone 8-4 (+3.5 Units / 26.42% ROI).

  • Lions are 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -8.85% ROI
  • Lions are 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Lions are 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Vikings are undefeated (6-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .562.

The Vikings are undefeated (6-0) when forcing at least one fumble this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .586.

The Vikings are undefeated (4-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .579.

The Vikings are 9-1 (.900) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .581.

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Lions are 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — tied for sixth-worst in NFL. The Vikings have intercepted 12 passes this season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.

The Lions are 3-3-1 (.429) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .726.

The Lions are winless (0-2) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .442.

The Lions are 1-8-1 (.100) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .493.

Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions

The Lions have scored on 41.9% of their drives in the first quarter this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Vikings defense has allowed scores on 36.7% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Lions have gone three and out on 15.2% of their drives this season — fifth-best in NFL. Vikings have forced three and outs on 14.1% of opponent drives this season — worst in NFL.

The Lions went three and out on 0% of their drives last week — tied for best in NFL. Vikings forced three and outs on 0% of opponent drives in Week 13 — tied for worst in NFL.

The Vikings have thrown the ball 59.3% of the time this season — tied for fourth-highest in NFL. The Lions have allowed 7.3 yards per dropback this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

Vikings RBs have 9 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fifth-most in NFL. The Lions have allowed 15 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — second-most in NFL.

Vikings WRs have 186.2 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Lions have averaged 188.0 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs this season — third-worst in NFL.

Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Vikings have converted first downs on just 16 of 37 plays (43%) on second and 1-3 yards to go this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

The Vikings have scored on 16% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The Vikings converted first downs on just 30 of 57 plays (53%) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Vikings have run successful plays on 33% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Lions scored on 89% of their drives in Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions ran 9% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Lions threw 76% of their pass attempts 1 to 10 yards downfield last season — tied for highest in NFL; League Avg: 71%.

Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

51% of the plays ran against the Vikings were in the red zone in the 2nd half in Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

59% of the plays ran against the Vikings were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Vikings defense allowed no passing TDs (58 pass attempts) in Week 13 — tied for best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 26.3.

The Vikings defense has allowed 204.0 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 159.9.

Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Lions defense has not recorded a sack (50 pass attempts) in the red zone this season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.9.

The Lions defense has allowed first downs on 56% of rush attempts on 3rd and long this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 27%.

Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 12% of the time (115 Pass Attempts/958 plays) since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 12% of the time (67 Pass Attempts/544 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.