- The Lions are -8.5 point favorites vs the Vikings
- Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Minnesota Vikings (3-4-0) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (5-2-0) on Nov. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
The Lions are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Vikings vs. Lions Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | +8.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 | 360 |
| Lions | -8.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 | -475 |
Vikings vs. Lions Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this game with 79.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Vikings vs Lions Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
- Jordan Addison has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jordan Mason has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 87% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jordan Mason has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today
- David Montgomery has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 44% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.03 Units / 15% ROI)
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+4.35 Units / 7% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 3-4 (-1.5 Units / -19.23% ROI).
- Vikings are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -21.94% ROI
- Vikings are 6-1 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI
- Vikings are 1-6 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / ROI
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions are 5-2 (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).
- Lions are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 21.11% ROI
- Lions are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Lions are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of plays with tight coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 73% of plays on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
The Vikings defense have allowed 13.4 yards per play on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 71% of pass attempts on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Lions have gone three and out on 27% of their drives in the second half this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have forced three and outs on 30% of opponent drives in the second half this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Lions have a third down conversion rate of just 16.7% in the fourth quarter this season — worst in NFL. The Vikings defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 20.8% in the 4th quarter this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Lions have gone three and out on 34.6% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Vikings have forced three and outs on 28.6% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — 5th-best in NFL.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions
The Lions have gone three and out on 27% of their drives in the second half this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have forced three and outs on 30% of opponent drives in the second half this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Lions have a third down conversion rate of just 16.7% in the fourth quarter this season — worst in NFL. The Vikings defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 20.8% in the 4th quarter this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Lions have gone three and out on 34.6% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Vikings have forced three and outs on 28.6% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of plays with tight coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 73% of plays on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
The Vikings defense have allowed 13.4 yards per play on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 71% of pass attempts on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of plays with tight coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 73% of plays on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
The Vikings defense have allowed 13.4 yards per play on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 71% of pass attempts on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions have gone three and out on 27% of their drives in the second half this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have forced three and outs on 30% of opponent drives in the second half this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Lions have a third down conversion rate of just 16.7% in the fourth quarter this season — worst in NFL. The Vikings defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 20.8% in the 4th quarter this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Lions have gone three and out on 34.6% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Vikings have forced three and outs on 28.6% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — 5th-best in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of plays with tight coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 73% of plays on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
The Vikings defense have allowed 13.4 yards per play on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 71% of pass attempts on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
The Lions have gone three and out on 27% of their drives in the second half this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have forced three and outs on 30% of opponent drives in the second half this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Lions have a third down conversion rate of just 16.7% in the fourth quarter this season — worst in NFL. The Vikings defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 20.8% in the 4th quarter this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Lions have gone three and out on 34.6% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Vikings have forced three and outs on 28.6% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — 5th-best in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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