Vikings vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 27, 2022, 1:22 PM
  • The Packers (7-8) are -3 point favorites vs the Vikings (12-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 47 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Minnesota Vikings (12-3) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (7-8) on Jan. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Green Bay.

The Packers are betting favorites in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -3 (-120).

The Vikings vs. Packers Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.

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Vikings vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 17

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Vikings+3 +10047 -110+145
Packers -3 -12047 -110-175

Vikings vs. Packers Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 17 game with 62.3% confidence.

Vikings vs Packers Spread Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread this Week 17 with 52.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Vikings and Packers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kirk Cousins has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Dalvin Cook has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Irv Smith has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 102% ROI)
  • T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 away games (+4.20 Units / 78% ROI)

Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Robert Tonyan has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Robert Tonyan has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Christian Watson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+2.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.40 Units / 4% ROI)

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings have gone 6-8 (-2.9 Units / -17.42% ROI).

  • Vikings are 12-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.3 Units / 39.02% ROI
  • Vikings are 10-5 when betting the Over for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Vikings are 5-10 when betting the Under for -6 Units / ROI

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers have gone 7-8 (-1.9 Units / -11.45% ROI).

  • Packers are 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -23.56% ROI
  • Packers are 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI
  • Packers are 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Vikings are undefeated (8-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .574.

The Vikings are undefeated (11-0) when favorites this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .642.

The Vikings are undefeated (8-0) when leading at the end of the first half this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .704.

The Vikings are undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .596.

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Packers are winless (0-4) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .227.

The Packers are 4-2 (.667) at home this season — tied for 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .547.

The Packers are 12-2 (.857) at home since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .527.

The Packers are 4-5 (.444) when favorites this season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .642.

Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers

The Packers have a third down conversion rate of just 0.0% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since Week 13 — tied for worst in NFL. The Vikings defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 6.7% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since Week 13 — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

The Packers have gone three and out on 9.7% of their drives since Week 13 — best in NFL. Vikings have forced three and outs on 10.2% of opponent drives since Week 13 — worst in NFL.

Packers TEs have 7 receptions in 3 games (just 2.3 per game) since Week 13 — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs since Week 13 — second-best in NFL.

The Vikings have thrown the ball 60.7% of the time this season — third-highest in NFL. The Packers have allowed 7.1 yards per dropback this season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.

The Vikings threw the ball 67.6% of the time last week — second-highest in NFL. The Packers allowed 11.8 yards per dropback in Week 14 — worst in NFL.

The Vikings have run successful plays on 48.8% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since Week 13 — fourth-best in NFL. Packers have allowed successful plays on 55.8% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since Week 13 — fifth-worst in NFL.

Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Vikings have scored on 49% of their drives in close and late situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

The Vikings have run the ball on 34% of plays (336 carries/994 plays) this season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Vikings have run the ball on 25% of plays (16 carries/64 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Vikings have run successful plays on 37% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Packers have run 35% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter since Week 13 of the 2021 Season — best in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

The Packers have been flagged 59 times on offense since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

The Packers ran 73% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Packers have run 67% of their plays in their opponent’s territory since Week 13 of the 2021 Season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

Offenses facing the Vikings targeted TEs 16% of the time (191 Pass Attempts/1,188 plays) since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Vikings defense has allowed 204.3 receiving yards per game (3,065/15) to WRs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 153.2.

Offenses facing the Vikings targeted TEs 15% of the time (85 Pass Attempts/563 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Vikings defense allowed 200.7 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 160.3.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Packers defense allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Packers defense allowed first downs on 31% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 11.9 when the opposing QB has scrambled (25 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 61.2.

The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 51% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.