Kings vs Avalanche Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Sep 30

Wild Golden Knights
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
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  • The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Kings
  • Kings vs. Avalanche Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
  • TV Channel: TNT | tru | HBOM

The Los Angeles Kings (0-0) visit Ball Arena to take on the Colorado Avalanche (0-0) on Sep. 30 in Denver, CO. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 pm.

The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+118).

The Kings vs. Avalanche Over/Under is 6 total goals.

Kings vs. Avalanche Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Kings+1.5 -1456 +100+165
Avalanche-1.5 +1186 -120-200

Kings vs Avalanche Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 62.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Kings vs Avalanche Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Los Angeles Kings have covered the 1P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Kings have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 away games (+7.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Kings have covered the Puck Line in 9 of their last 13 away games (+6.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Kings have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+7.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 3P Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+3.60 Units / 14% ROI)

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Avalanche vs Kings

Player Name Odds to Score a Goal
Nathan MacKinnon (COL) +110
Martin Necas (COL) +175
Adrian Kempe (LAK) +210
Artemi Panarin (LAK) +240
Gabriel Landeskog (COL) +240
Quinton Byfield (Lak) +260

Kings: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche

The Kings were 34-45 (.430) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Kings were 7-19 (.269) when tied after the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Kings were 5-17 (.227) when drawing more penalties last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .481

The Kings were 19-23 (.452) when winning the xG advantage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .645

Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Kings

The Avalanche were 53-26 (.671) last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Avalanche are 100-58 (.633) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Avalanche were 39-12 (.765) when having 3 or more xG. last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .608

The Avalanche were 26-8 (.765) when scoring a power play goal last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .592

The Kings recorded 12.8 shots per game while tied last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.6

The Kings secondary assisted on 4 goals while shorthanded last season — tied for 3rd most among NHL Teams

The Kings scored on 10% of second chance opportunities last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%

The Kings averaged 2.99 expected goals per game last season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.08

The Avalanche recorded 35.7 shots per game last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 29.8

The Avalanche recorded 28.5 shots per game in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 23.3

The Avalanche had 423 cycle chances while leading last season — most among NHL Teams

The Avalanche had 210 rush chances in the first period last season — most among NHL Teams

The Kings allowed opponents to score on 25% of rush chances against the power play last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%

The Kings allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%

The Kings have allowed 0.7 goals per game in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.9

The Kings allowed 3.0 rush chances per game while tied last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.4

The Avalanche allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1

The Avalanche allowed 2.4 goals per game last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.1

The Avalanche had 29.7 goals saved above expected in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4

The Avalanche allowed 0.7 goals per game in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1


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