North Carolina vs North Carolina State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 19, 2023, 10:23 AM
  • North Carolina State (20-7) is a -2.5 point favorite vs North Carolina (16-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The North Carolina Tar Heels (16-10) visit PNC Arena to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack (20-7) on Feb. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Raleigh.

North Carolina State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The North Carolina vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina+2.5 -115O 153.5 -115+110
North Carolina State -2.5 -105U 153.5 -105-135

North Carolina vs North Carolina State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts North Carolina State will win this game with 55.5% confidence.

North Carolina vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and North Carolina State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 away games (+5.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has gone 8-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-11.85 Units / -41.36% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -6.39% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has gone 12-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 15-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 4.59% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has 1,815 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina has a 41% free throw rate (543 free throw attempts/1,318 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

North Carolina has 24.7 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.4

North Carolina has attempted 543 free throws this season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 4.3 turnovers per game (238 turnovers/55 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.5

North Carolina State has averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (548 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

North Carolina State has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (226 turnovers/23 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

North Carolina State has averaged 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (269 rebounds/23 games) this season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,815 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

North Carolina has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,815 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

North Carolina has averaged 29.0 defensive rebounds per game (637 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,578 points/1,367 shots) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has 191 steals this season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (191 steals/23 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

North Carolina State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (191 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Carolina State has averaged 7.6 steals per game (416 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.