Northern Arizona vs Montana State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2023, 11:16 AM
  • Montana State (24-9) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Northern Arizona (12-22)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (12-22) visit Idaho Central Arena to take on the Montana State Bobcats (24-9) on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 11:30pm EST in Boise.

Montana State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Northern Arizona vs. Montana State Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Northern Arizona vs. Montana State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Arizona+7.5 -110O 135.5 -110+280
Montana State -7.5 -110U 135.5 -110-350

Northern Arizona vs Montana State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Montana State will win this game with 64.3% confidence.

Northern Arizona vs Montana State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northern Arizona will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Northern Arizona and Montana State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Northern Arizona have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 49 games (+25.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+11.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Montana State have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)

Northern Arizona Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Arizona has gone 20-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.8 Units / 19.29% ROI).

  • 10-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -17.99% ROI
  • 20-12 when betting the Over for +6.8 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • 12-20 when betting the Under for -10 Units / -28.41% ROI

Montana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Montana State has gone 20-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 23-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 11.47% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI

Northern Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Arizona has a TS% of 46% this season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Northern Arizona is shooting 46% from inside the arc (298/648) this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Northern Arizona has averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (242 turnovers/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Northern Arizona has an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Montana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State has a 39% free throw rate (516 free throw attempts/1,319 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 32%

Montana State has 21.5 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 18.0

Montana State has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,475 points/3,271 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Montana State has attempted 516 free throws this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Northern Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Arizona has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,315 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Northern Arizona has averaged 5.6 steals per game (123 steals/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 5.7

Northern Arizona has averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (510 rebounds/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.1

Northern Arizona has forced 12.0 turnovers per game (263 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 11.8

Montana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State has averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (568 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.1

Montana State has averaged 6.6 steals per game (158 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 5.7

Montana State has averaged 24.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,447 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Montana State has 341 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among Big Sky Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.