Nuggets vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 22, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Lakers are -3.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Monday, May 22, 2023 at 8:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Denver Nuggets visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Nuggets vs Lakers Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 52-43 against the spread, while the Lakers are 50-46 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets+3.5 -115O 225.5 -110+130
Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 -105U 225.5 -110-160

Lakers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Monday‘s game with 57.9% confidence.

Lakers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Lakers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 63 of their last 92 games (+30.21 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the Spread in 40 of their last 67 games (+11.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games (+7.41 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 68 games (+6.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 86 games (+20.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.67 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games at home (+12.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the Spread in 37 of their last 63 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 52-43 (+4.7 Units / 4.45% ROI).

  • 64-32 against the Moneyline (+4.95 Units / 1.93% ROI)
  • 46-49 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -7.48% ROI)
  • 49-46 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -1.52% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 50-46 (-0.65 Units / -0.6% ROI).

  • 52-46 against the Moneyline (+11.5 Units / 7.1% ROI)
  • 51-46 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 0.37% ROI)
  • 46-51 against the Under for game total points (-10.1 Units / -9.37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 86 games (-17.60 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 62 games (-17.60 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 20 of their last 54 games (-17.41 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 54 games (-16.91 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 98 games (-15.65 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 92 games (-41.82 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 41 away games (-19.80 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 47 away games (-15.77 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 95 games (-15.67 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 94 games (-14.85 Units / -14% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Nuggets are 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Nuggets are 83-25 (.769) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

The Nuggets are 47-19 (.712) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Nuggets are 42-13 (.764) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Lakers are 8-30 (.211) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .275

The Lakers are 54-51 (.514) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Lakers are 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Lakers are 49-43 (.533) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

Injury Report: Lakers vs. NuggetsMonday‘s Game, May 22

  • LeBron James (Lakers): James is probable for Monday’s (May 22) game against Denver.
  • Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is probable for Monday’s (May 22) game against Denver.
  • Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,723/7,286) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (1,831/3,563) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets are shooting 50% (3,554/7,136) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers have 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Lakers have averaged 54.5 points in the paint per game (4,470 points/82 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Lakers are shooting 47% (9,856/20,773) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (996 blocks/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (496 blocks/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Nuggets have averaged 7.5 steals per game (887 steals/118 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (673 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (803 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Lakers have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (6,135 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7

The Lakers have blocked 1,189 shots since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.