- The Suns are -3.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
- Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
- Thursday, May 11, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Denver Nuggets visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Nuggets vs Suns Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 50-41 against the spread, while the Suns are 46-44 against the spread.
Bet now on Suns vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM
Nuggets vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Denver Nuggets | +1.5 -105 | O 225.5 -110 | +110 |
Phoenix Suns | -1.5 -115 | U 225.5 -110 | -135 |
Suns vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Thursday‘s game with 58.7% confidence.
Suns vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Suns, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Suns vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 88 games (+32.46 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the Spread in 38 of their last 63 games (+11.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.81 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 69 games (+6.47 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 43 away games (+6.40 Units / 13% ROI)
Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 51 games (+17.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 56 of their last 93 games (+16.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 58 games (+15.52 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 51 games (+14.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 59 games (+11.53 Units / 18% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 50-41 (+4.9 Units / 4.84% ROI).
- 60-32 against the Moneyline (+0.05 Units / 0.02% ROI)
- 44-47 against the Over for game total points (-7.7 Units / -7.61% ROI)
- 47-44 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -1.38% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 46-44 (-2.4 Units / -2.37% ROI).
- 51-41 against the Moneyline (-0.65 Units / -0.28% ROI)
- 48-41 against the Over for game total points (+2.9 Units / 2.87% ROI)
- 41-48 against the Under for game total points (-11.8 Units / -11.66% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 93 games (-25.25 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 91 games (-23.77 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 94 games (-23.52 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 86 games (-17.64 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 93 games (-15.97 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 88 games (-43.72 Units / -44% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 32 away games (-25.90 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 39 away games (-22.95 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 91 games (-17.57 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 42 games (-16.00 Units / -24% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Nuggets are 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555
The Nuggets are 83-25 (.769) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569
The Nuggets are 47-19 (.712) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565
The Nuggets are 42-13 (.764) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Suns are 34-11 (.756) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Suns are 56-13 (.812) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
The Suns are 43-10 (.811) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546
The Suns are 101-35 (.743) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
Injury Report: Suns vs. Nuggets – Thursday‘s Game, May 11
- Chris Paul (Suns): Paul will be re-evaluated in a week according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
- Deandre Ayton (Suns): Ayton is questionable for Thursday’s (May.11) game against Denver.
- Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,723/7,286) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (1,831/3,563) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets are shooting 50% (3,554/7,136) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (3,051 assists/ 1,561 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,145 assists/ 1,107 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (6,418 assists/ 3,072 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (3,196 assists/ 1,528 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (996 blocks/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (496 blocks/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Nuggets have averaged 7.5 steals per game (887 steals/118 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (673 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Suns have averaged 7.8 steals per game (1,287 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Suns have blocked 432 shots this season — 5th most among NBA teams
The Suns have averaged 7.6 steals per game (1,804 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Bet now on Suns vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
