- The Bowling Green is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Old Dominion
- The Old Dominion vs. Bowling Green Total(Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Old Dominion Monarchs (0-3) visit Doyt L. Perry Stadium to take on the Bowling Green Falcons (1-2) on Sep. 28 in Bowling Green, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EDT.
Bowling Green is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).
The Old Dominion vs. Bowling Green Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Old Dominion vs. Bowling Green Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Old Dominion | +9.5 -105 | 51.5 -115 | +275 |
| Bowling Green | -9.5 -115 | 51.5 -105 | -350 |
Old Dominion vs Bowling Green Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this game with 75.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Old Dominion and Bowling Green, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Old Dominion vs Bowling Green Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 73.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Old Dominion Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Old Dominion have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Old Dominion have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Old Dominion has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Old Dominion has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Old Dominion has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Bowling Green Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+12.70 Units / 93% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+11.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.65 Units / 77% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Old Dominion players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Old Dominion Player Prop Bets Today
- Grant Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Isiah Paige has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Grant Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Grant Wilson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Bowling Green players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bowling Green Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Harold Fannin Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Terion Stewart has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Old Dominion Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Old Dominion is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bowling Green is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 60.61% ROI).
Old Dominion: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green
Old Dominion is 2-8 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .393
Old Dominion is 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .551
Old Dominion is 6-10 (.375) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .632
Old Dominion is 4-6 (.400) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .547
Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Old Dominion
Bowling Green is 8-3 (.727) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .590
Bowling Green is 3-5 (.375) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .507
Bowling Green is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
Bowling Green is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .632
Matchup Notes for Old Dominion vs. Bowling Green
Bowling Green’s TEs have 118.3 receiving yards per game this season — best among FBS TEs. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Old Dominion’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 3.5% of 86 attempts this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Bowling Green’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.3% of attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Grant Wilson (ODU) has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 4.2% of 72 attempts this season — 6th-worst of Qualified Quarterbacks. Bowling Green’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.3% of attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Grant Wilson (ODU) has averaged just 8.0 pass attempts per sack this season — 7th-worst of Qualified Quarterbacks. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 9.0 pass attempts per sack this season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.
Old Dominion Offensive Stats & Trends
Old Dominion’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 3.5% of 86 attempts this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Bowling Green’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.3% of attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Old Dominion TEs have no touchdowns on 13 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.1
Old Dominion have been sacked on 17% of pass attempts (74/445) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 6%
Old Dominion have been sacked on 17% of pass attempts (74/445) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%
Old Dominion QBs have fumbled 8 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green TEs have been targeted 11.7 times per game (35/3) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9
Bowling Green TEs have averaged 9.0 receptions per game (27/3) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3
Bowling Green RBs were targeted 7 times in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams
Bowling Green TEs have averaged 118.3 receiving yards per game (355/3) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 36.5
Bowling Green RBs were targeted 8 times on 1st down last week– most among FBS Teams
Old Dominion Monarchs Defensive Stats & Trends
Old Dominion has allowed one passing TD (86 pass attempts) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.4
Old Dominion has allowed 16 rushing TDs on 127 carries (7.9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4
Old Dominion has allowed one touchdown on 50 completions this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1
Old Dominion has allowed 52.7 carries per game (158 carries / 3 games) this season– highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.6
Old Dominion has allowed 16 rushing TDs on 127 carries (7.9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 4.7
Bowling Green Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green has allowed one rushing TD on 13 carries in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.1
Bowling Green has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 3 of 11 attempts (27%) on 3rd and long this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 9%
Bowling Green has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 3 of 11 attempts (27%) on 3rd and long this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Bowling Green has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (41/411) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Bowling Green has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 122 carries (61 Carries Per TD) this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 20
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