Ole Miss at Mississippi State: Week 13 Game Predictions

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BetMGM Staff @BETMGM Nov 22, 2021, 1:43 AM

Ole Miss is the current owner of the Golden Egg after a 31-24 victory the last time they met. While you always want to beat your rival for bragging rights, this Ole Miss at Mississippi State game also features bowl game implications.

The Rebels hold the third-best record in the SEC with a 9-2 record, while the Bulldogs sit at 7-4. First, let’s look at the current college football odds and what we can expect from this college football rivalry game on Thursday night.

Mississippi State Keys to Victory

Mississippi State Bulldogs’ QB Will Rogers has been playing well against SEC opponents as of late, averaging 391.75 yards in his last four matchups. This week, he’ll need to continue that for the Bulldogs to come out on top but faces stiff competition from a defense that has allowed over 300 yards passing only once this year.

However, MSU’s hopes will likely rest on the shoulders of the defense. Not only will they have to stop Heisman candidate Matt Corral, but they’ll need to snuff out a rushing attack that has averaged over 206 yards per game against SEC teams this season.

Ole Miss Keys to Victory

The Ole Miss Rebels are coming off a somewhat unconvincing victory against Vanderbilt, 31-17. Quarterback Matt Corral didn’t play his best game and called a team meeting after the game to emphasize that the Rebels will need to be much better.

Ole Miss will look to complement Corral’s passing attack with a heavy ground game but will be tough against a Bulldogs team that has been stingy against the run this season, allowing under 100 yards per game.

The defensive emphasis will be on stopping Will Rogers and the air attack. Rogers has been excellent this year, averaging 374 passing yards per game to go with 34 touchdowns, while the Bulldogs’ ground game has averaged just 62.1 yards per game.

Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State: Best Bets

Mississippi State comes into the game as a one-point home favorite. Davis Wade Stadium should be rocking on Thursday night, providing the Bulldogs with an energetic edge. MSU is 4-3 in the conference and 7-4 overall while averaging almost 32 points per game. Ole Miss has been solid in conference play at 5-2 and sits at 9-2 overall, scoring 36.4 points per game (18th).

For me, the numbers are trending in Mississippi State’s favor in this one. They are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against the Rebels and are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall. I think the home-field advantage will give them the boost they need in this one to top Ole Miss.

The over/under is currently 61.5, and I don’t think the points will get there. The under has hit in six straight Rebels games.

Ole Miss at Mississippi State: Who Are You Taking?

This Thursday, Ole Miss at Mississippi State presents a decades-old rivalry and bragging rights for the coveted Golden Egg. MSU is 6-4 in the last ten matchups, and I believe that trend continues this week as they have the home-field edge. It’s a can’t-miss game for college fans and should make for an exciting Thanksgiving tilt.

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Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.

Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.