- The Yankees are -165 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Watch the game on YES
The Baltimore Orioles (+140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on Tuesday, May 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Orioles vs Yankees Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 31-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 28-21 ATS.
Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -150 | O 7.5 -105 | +140 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -115 | -165 |
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 79.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games (+10.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 45 games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.35 Units / 65% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.65 Units / 47% ROI)
Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Yankees vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Yankees vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
| Gerrit Cole | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -155 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 44 games (+15.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+13.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 47 games (+12.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 67% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+10.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 47 games (+5.20 Units / 10% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 30-17 against the Run Line (+12.05 Units / 20.69% ROI).
- 31-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.2 Units / 22.5% ROI
- 24-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 4.75% ROI
- 20-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -11.72% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 28-21 against the Run Line (+8.1 Units / 13.97% ROI).
- 29-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 9.55% ROI
- 22-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -12.01% ROI
- 26-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 3.22% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to April 25th — Cristian Javier has the longest active streak at 7.
Division opponents are hitting .338 (93-for-275) against Kyle Bradish since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: .246 — second Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed an OBP of just .143 (28 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .276 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 66% (35/53) against Kyle Bradish on fastballs away since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole allowed a batting average of .319 vs right-handed batters (tied for third worst)– fourth Percentile and just .167 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (third best among qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .111 (5-for-45) against Gerrit Cole with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 98th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .461 (115 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .715 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .246 (114 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — 93rd Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 9-10 (.474) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Orioles are 30-12 (.714) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Orioles are 82-4 (.953) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Orioles are 31-16 (.660) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 24-38 (.387) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Yankees are 29-27 (.518) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Yankees are 9-7 (.562) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 66% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 65% at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .343 (977 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Orioles hitters are slugging .432 on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 213 walks in 1,972 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .217 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .330 (1,972 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Yankees hitters have drawn 51 walks in 423 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .140 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 30 of 426 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 42% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Ramón UrÃas (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
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