- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
- Watch the game on YES
The Baltimore Orioles (+110) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on Thursday, May 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Orioles vs Yankees Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 32-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 28-23 ATS.
Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -115 | +110 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -105 | -135 |
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 67.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+11.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+9.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+9.55 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 49 games (+18.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 48% ROI)
Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Yankees vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Yankees vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
| Clarke Schmidt | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -140 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 46 games (+15.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 36 games (+15.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 49 games (+14.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 away games (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in their last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 49 games (+4.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 32-17 against the Run Line (+14.05 Units / 22.92% ROI).
- 32-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.45 Units / 22.2% ROI
- 26-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.45 Units / 8.28% ROI
- 20-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -15.3% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 28-23 against the Run Line (+6.1 Units / 10.17% ROI).
- 30-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 8.49% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -7.96% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -0.8% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 53% (50/95) against Kyle Gibson this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 89th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .393 (24-for-61) against Kyle Gibson when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has allowed a slugging percentage of .374 (40 Total Bases / 107 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .264 — 10th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strikeout rate of just 17% (41 SO in 246 PAs) this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 10th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
48 of Clarke Schmidt’s 110 strikeouts (44%) have come on cutters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of .644 (56 Total Bases / 87 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .415 — second Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed an OPS of 1.807 (35 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 1.123 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .469 (38-for-81) against Clarke Schmidt in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 0 Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 9-10 (.474) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Orioles are 32-17 (.653) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 6-2 (.750) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Orioles are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 25-39 (.391) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 9-7 (.562) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Yankees are 14-55 (.203) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,057 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 65% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 65% at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .774 (1,057 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 213 walks in 1,978 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .761 (1,978 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Yankees hitters have drawn 51 walks in 429 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees have answered-back in 36% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 55% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .140 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Orioles have won 57% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 124 of 1,882 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 41% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have won 49% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Yankees pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (1907.1 IP) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.05.
Yankees vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Ramón UrÃas (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Orioles vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
