Packers vs Bengals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL Preseason

min read
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 11, 2023, 12:43 PM
  • The Packers are -4.5 point favorites vs the Bengals
  • Total (Over/Under): 35.5 points
  • Watch the game on Broadcast Channel

The Green Bay Packers visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals on Aug. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Packers are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Packers vs. Bengals Over/Under is 35.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Bengals vs Packers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Packers vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Packers-4.5 -11035.5 -115-200
Bengals +4.5 -11035.5 -105+165

Packers vs. Bengals Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this preseason game with 53.9% confidence.

Packers vs Bengals Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 55.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Packers and Bengals, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Bengals vs Packers and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Watson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Aaron Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • A.J. Dillon has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • A.J. Dillon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Joe Mixon has hit the Longest Rush Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Passing Yards Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have scored last in their last 6 away games (+6.25 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.65 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have covered the 4Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.05 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 2H Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last NFL season, the Packers went 8-9 (-2 Units / -10.58% ROI).

  • Packers are 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.4 Units / -24.64% ROI
  • Packers are 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI
  • Packers are 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / ROI

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last NFL season, the Bengals went 13-6 (+6.25 Units / 29.83% ROI).

  • Bengals are 14-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 11.11% ROI
  • Bengals are 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.15 Units / -24.58% ROI
  • Bengals are 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.3 Units / 15.83% ROI

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Packers are undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .671.

The Packers were 5-1 (.833) when forcing at least one fumble in the 2022 season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .596.

The Packers are winless (0-6) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .128.

The Packers were 3-6 (.333) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Bengals are undefeated (16-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .585.

The Bengals were 11-0 (1.000) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — best in NFL. The Packers averaged just 2.0 sacks per game over that time span — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.

The Bengals are 7-1 (.875) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .353.

The Bengals are 9-3 (.750) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .268.

Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals ran 16.6% offensive plays in the red zone last season — fifth-best in NFL. Packers allowed their opponent to run 16.2% of plays in the red zone last season — fifth-worst in NFL.

Bengals TEs had just 34.2 receiving yards per game last season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Packers allowed an average of just 31.5 receiving yards per game to TEs last season — second-best in NFL.

The Bengals ran 50.5% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last season — third-best in NFL. Packers allowed their opponents to run47.4% of plays in their territory last season — fourth-worst in NFL.

No Matchup notes for this Game

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats

The Packers have been flagged 61 times on offense since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

The Packers have averaged just 14.5 offensive penalty yards per game (494/34) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20.1.

The Packers went three and out on 5% of their drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Packers ran 49% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2022 season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats

The Bengals ran 58% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Bengals threw for 36 TDs in the 2022 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Bengals scored 8 TDs from their own territory in the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Bengals have scored 17 TDs from their own territory since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats

The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Packers defense allowed first downs on just 29% of plays on 3rd and short in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

22% of the plays ran against the Packers were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Packers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 29% on 3rd and short in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats

The Bengals defense allowed successful plays on 31% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Bengals defense allowed successful plays on 33% of plays in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Bengals defense allowed a passer rating of just 70.3 when blitzing (98 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 92.0.

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Bengals vs Packers and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.