- The Padres (71-59) are -125 favorites vs the Giants (61-66)
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (5-7), 4.24 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb (11-7), 3.33 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Diego Padres (-125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+105) on Tuesday, August 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Padres vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 69-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 55-69 ATS.
Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -115 | -125 |
| Giants | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -105 | +105 |
Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+19.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 47 away games (+16.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+14.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 58 games (+13.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 45 away games (+12.65 Units / 18% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Luis Gonzalez has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+9.95 Units / 39% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 56 of their last 105 games (+10.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+3.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+2.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.10 Units / 25% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 56 games at home (+15.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 58-69 against the Run Line (-14.8 Units / -9.39% ROI).
- 69-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -5.7% ROI
- 60-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -6.86% ROI
- 64-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -1.8% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 55-69 against the Run Line (-22.75 Units / -14.7% ROI).
- 60-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -25 Units / -13.46% ROI
- 59-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -2.73% ROI
- 57-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.75 Units / -6.33% ROI
Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 43 of 246 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (104 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
Blake Snell has walked 90 of 735 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 48 of 279 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Logan Webb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 61% of the time (2,029/3,316) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 66% of the time (823/1,249) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (279/473) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (282/448) against Logan Webb since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are 18-2 (.900) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Padres are just 9-11 (.450) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are just 2-45 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Padres are 24-7 (.774) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are just 27-36 (.429) on the road this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Giants are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 48-4 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Giants are 6-52 (.103) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,517 of their 4,636 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Padres hitters are slugging just .381 against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters are slugging just .374 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .392 (56 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres have won 43% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Padres pitchers have walked 67 of 1,152 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.6
Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 760 of 10,736 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Giants vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D10
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Tayler Scott (Padres): Finger, D15
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alfaro (Padres): Knee, D10
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
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