Panthers vs Buccaneers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 27, 2022, 1:17 PM
  • The Buccaneers (7-8) are -3 point favorites vs the Panthers (6-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Carolina Panthers (6-9) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-8) on Jan. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Tampa.

The Buccaneers are betting favorites in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Panthers vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Buccaneers vs Panthers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Panthers vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 17

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Panthers+3 -11539.5 -110+135
Buccaneers -3 -10539.5 -110-160

Panthers vs. Buccaneers Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this Week 17 game with 57.0% confidence.

Panthers vs Buccaneers Spread Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread this Week 17 with 54.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Panthers and Buccaneers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • D.J. Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • D.J. Moore has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Sam Darnold has hit the Completions Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Sam Darnold has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)

Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tom Brady has hit the Completions Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Tom Brady has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Tom Brady has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Leonard Fournette has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.20 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Tom Brady has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have scored first in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+7.20 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.80 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.25 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers have gone 8-7 (+0.25 Units / 1.52% ROI).

  • Panthers are 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 8.44% ROI
  • Panthers are 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.85 Units / -11.18% ROI
  • Panthers are 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / ROI

Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers have gone 3-11 (-9.3 Units / -55.69% ROI).

  • Buccaneers are 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -33.85% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 4-11 when betting the Over for -8.1 Units / -49.09% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 11-4 when betting the Under for +6.6 Units / 40% ROI

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Panthers are 2-10 (.167) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.

The Panthers are 4-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — tied for best in NFL. The Buccaneers has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 38 s this season — third-highest in NFL.

The Panthers are winless (0-8) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.

The Panthers are winless (0-7) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Buccaneers are winless (0-3) when allowing 3 or more sacks this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .367.

The Buccaneers are winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .282.

The Buccaneers are 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .417.

The Buccaneers are 11-4 (.733) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .493.

Additional Matchup Notes for Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Buccaneers RBs have 5 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fourth-most in NFL. The Panthers have allowed 4 receiving touchdowns to RBs this season — tied for fifth-most in NFL.

The Buccaneers have thrown the ball 67.7% of the time since Week 13 — highest in NFL. The Panthers have allowed 7.5 yards per dropback since Week 13 — fifth-worst in NFL.

Buccaneers WRs have averaged 27.1 targets per game this season — highest in NFL. The Panthers have allowed 14.1 receptions per game to WRs this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Panthers have run successful plays on just 37.0% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL. Buccaneers have allowed successful plays on just 42.0% of pass attempts this season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Panthers have gone three and out on 27.7% of their drives this season — second-worst in NFL. Buccaneers have forced three and outs on 29.1% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL.

The Panthers have been successful on just 37.6% of plays they have run this season — second-worst in NFL. Buccaneers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 38.9% of plays this season — tied for second-best in NFL.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Panthers have run successful plays on 31% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Panthers have run successful plays on 38% of pass attempts in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Panthers have run successful plays on 37% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Panthers have a third down conversion rate of 56% on third and 10+ yards to go since Week 13 of the 2021 Season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 12% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Buccaneers started 6 drives inside their own 20 yard line in Week 16 — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Buccaneers had 17 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — tied for 2nd-most in NFL.

The Buccaneers have thrown the ball 74% of the time (177 Pass Attempts/238 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Panthers defense has allowed scores on 16% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Panthers defense sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the red zone last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.3.

The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 23% of plays since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Buccaneers defense allowed no passing TDs (46 pass attempts) in Week 16 — tied for best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 27.1.

The Buccaneers defense have forced three and outs on 29% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

Offenses facing the Buccaneers threw the ball 62% of the time (680 Pass Attempts/1,097 plays) last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.