New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Odds, Lines & Predictions for Week 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 06, 2022, 11:04 PM
  • The Patriots (10-6) are -6.5 favorites vs the Dolphins (8-8)
  • Sunday, January 9, 2022 4:25pm EST on CBS
  • Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points

The Miami Dolphins (8-8) play the New England Patriots (10-6) on Sunday, January 9, 2022 4:25pm EST at Hard Rock Stadium.

The Patriots are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The total (Over/Under) is 39.5 points for the game.

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Dolphins vs Patriots and all NFL games with BetMGM

Where & How to Watch Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots, Week 18

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 9, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:25pm EST
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Miami Gardens, FL at Hard Rock Stadium

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Odds & Spread, Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New England Patriots-6.5 -11039.5 -110-275
Miami Dolphins +6.5 -11039.5 -110225

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New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins

The Patriots are winless (0-3) when rushing less than 20 times since last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .153.

The Patriots are winless (0-6) when rushing for less than 100 yards since last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .320.

The Patriots are winless (0-5) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game since last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .314.

The Patriots are 14-2 (.875) when scoring 22 or more points since last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .711.

Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots

The Dolphins are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 22 points this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .760.

The Dolphins are 13-5 (.722) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs since last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .575.

The Dolphins are winless (0-5) when rushing less than 20 times since last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .153.

The Dolphins are 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays since last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .617.

Additional Matchup Notes for New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins, Week 18

The Dolphins ran just 0.0% offensive plays in the red zone last week — tied for worst in NFL. Patriots allowed their opponent to run just 6.5% of plays in the red zone last week — fourth-best in NFL.

The Dolphins have scored on 29.4% of their drives this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Patriots defense has allowed scores on 28.6% of opponent drives this season — tied for best in NFL.

The Dolphins have a third down conversion rate of just 16.2% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2019 season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Patriots defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 14.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2019 season — second-best in NFL.

The Patriots have 35 touchdown passes since the 2020 season — tied for third-fewest in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed 43 passing TDs since last season — fifth-fewest in NFL.

The Patriots are averaging 4.3 yards per carry on rushes up the middle this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed 4.7 yards per carry when defending rushes up the middle to RBs this season — second-worst in NFL.

The Patriots scored 7 TDs last week — most in NFL. The Dolphins allowed 4 TDs last week — tied for third-most in NFL.

Key Injuries for the Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots Game, Week 18

  • Miami Dolphins - No Injuries Reported
  • New England Patriots - No Injuries Reported

New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Patriots have started 5 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — tied for fewest in NFL.

The Patriots rushed for 4 TDs in Week 17 — tied for most in NFL.

The Patriots scored 7 TDs in Week 17 — most in NFL.

The Patriots ran successful plays on 87% of plays in the 1st quarter in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Dolphins have run successful plays on 32% of rush attempts this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Dolphins have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Dolphins have gone three and out on 37% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Dolphins have gained at least 5 yards on 37% of first down plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Patriots defense allowed a passer rating of just 33.7 on 3rd down (113 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 85.7

The Patriots defense allowed a passer rating of just 28.6 on 3rd and long (56 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 82.0

The Patriots defense has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 69 carries (11.5 Carries Per TD) in the red zone this season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

The Patriots defense did not record a sack (61 pass attempts) in the red zone last season — tied for worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 18.1

Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Dolphins defense allowed 6.2 yards after the catch (1,258 RAC / 204 receptions) to WRs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.4

The Dolphins defense has blitzed on 24% of plays this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Dolphins defense has hit opposing QBs on 35% of pass attempts since Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Dolphins defense allowed 8.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,236 yards / 755 touches) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.5

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