Patriots vs Titans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL Preseason

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(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 23, 2023, 2:19 PM
  • The Patriots are -2.5 point favorites vs the Titans
  • Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
  • Watch the game on NFL Network

The New England Patriots visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans on Aug. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Nashville.

The Patriots are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Patriots vs. Titans Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.

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Patriots vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Patriots-2.5 -11038.5 -110-145
Titans +2.5 -11038.5 -110+120

Patriots vs. Titans Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Patriots will win this preseason game with 55.5% confidence.

Patriots vs Titans Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Patriots will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Patriots and Titans, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Patriots Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Patriots players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mac Jones has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.15 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Carries Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Mac Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 57% ROI)
  • DeVante Parker has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.20 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)

Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Patriots went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Patriots are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Patriots are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Patriots are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Titans went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Titans are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Titans are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Titans are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Patriots were winless (0-5) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .388.

The Patriots were winless (0-4) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .369.

The Patriots were winless (0-3) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .396.

The Patriots were winless (0-8) when allowing 22 or more points in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .273.

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots

The Titans were winless (0-3) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .388.

The Titans were winless (0-3) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .398.

The Titans were 1-6 (.143) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.

The Titans were winless (0-4) vs top 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.

Additional Matchup Notes for New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans

The Titans ran just 11.1% offensive plays in the red zone last season — second-worst in NFL. Patriots allowed their opponent to run just 11.6% of plays in the red zone last season — third-best in NFL.

The Titans scored on 27.1% of their drives last season — worst in NFL. The Patriots defense allowed scores on 30.6% of opponent drives last season — second-best in NFL.

The Titans scored on 13.3% of their drives in the fourth quarter last season — worst in NFL. The Patriots defense allowed scores on 20% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Patriots went three and out on 25.8% of their drives in the fourth quarter last season — third-worst in NFL. Titans forced three and outs on 30.4% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL.

The Patriots had a third down conversion rate of just 31.6% in the second half last season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Titans defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 30.1% in the second half last season — tied for second-best in NFL.

New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats

The Patriots ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the red zone in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Patriots ran successful plays on 35% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Patriots ran successful plays on 20% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured in the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Patriots scored 19 TDs in the red zone in the 2022 season — fewest in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats

The Titans averaged 10.1 drives per TD in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.

The Titans scored on 18% of their drives in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 34%.

The Titans ran 35% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Titans converted first downs on just 37 of 201 plays (18%) in close and late situations in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats

The Patriots defense allowed successful plays on 35% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Patriots defense has averaged 1.2 interceptions per game (42/34) since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

The Patriots defense has allowed 14 rushing TDs on 125 carries (8.9 Carries Per TD) in the red zone since the 2021 season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

The Patriots defense allowed successful plays on 35% of plays in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats

The Titans defense allowed 274.8 passing yards per game (4,671/17) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 217.8.

The Titans defense allowed successful plays on 35% of rush attempts in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Titans defense allowed 290.3 receiving yards per game (4,935/17) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 233.7.

The Titans defense allowed successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.