Penn State vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 10, 2023, 9:34 AM
  • Northwestern (21-10) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Penn State (20-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • Watch the game on BTN

The Penn State Nittany Lions (20-12) visit United Center to take on the Northwestern Wildcats (21-10) on Mar. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Chicago.

Northwestern is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Penn State vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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Penn State vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Penn State+1.5 -115O 130.5 -110+100
Northwestern -1.5 -105U 130.5 -110-120

Penn State vs Northwestern Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Northwestern will win this game with 52.5% confidence.

Penn State vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northwestern will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn State and Northwestern, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Penn State have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+11.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+9.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+13.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+13.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+12.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has gone 19-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 12.04% ROI
  • 18-14 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 7.39% ROI
  • 14-18 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -16.48% ROI

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has gone 19-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.8 Units / 17.01% ROI).

  • 20-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.6 Units / 11.97% ROI
  • 11-20 when betting the Over for -11 Units / -32.26% ROI
  • 20-11 when betting the Under for +7.9 Units / 23.17% ROI

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has made 236 three-pointers this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has made 136 three-pointers in the first half this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has made 10.7 three-pointers per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

Penn State has averaged 5.6 offensive rebounds per game (123 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.6

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (787 assists/ 531 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northwestern is shooting 41% (522/1,289) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Northwestern is shooting 39% (257/665) in the first half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Northwestern is shooting 41% (522/1,289) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 5.0 steals per game (111 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Penn State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (275 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Penn State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (168 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Penn State has averaged 4.7 steals per game (107 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.5

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has 178 steals this season — 2nd most among Big 10 Teams

Northwestern has averaged 6.9 steals per game (240 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Northwestern has averaged 8.1 steals per game (178 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Northwestern has 379 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among Big 10 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.