PGA Odds: Is Charles Schwab Challenge Jordan Spieth’s to Run Away With?

FORT WORTH, TEXAS - MAY 27: Jordan Spieth lines up his putt on the 18th hole during the first round of the Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Country Club on May 27, 2021 in Fort Worth, Texas. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)
(Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)

How do you cap last weekend’s record-setting win by Phil Mickelson in the PGA Championship? Well, you don’t. 

The 50-year old Mickelson defied PGA tour odds and cruised to become the oldest golfer to ever win a major tournament. And it wasn’t close in the end. His odds to win this week’s Charles Schwab Challenge (+12500) prove that last week’s success doesn’t automatically make him this week’s favorite.

No, those honors go to Jordan Spieth (+333). While Spieth had a pedestrian finish at the PGA Championship last week (30th) — a four-day slog in which he shot under par only one day — he does have seven top-10 finishes this year and his third-place showing at the 2021 Masters proves he can still strike at any time and on the biggest stage. He’s a three-time major winner, showing he can handle the pressure.

So how does this course play? Colonial Country Club is located in Fort Worth, Texas, and opened in 1936. It has a reputation for being a very tight course in the fairways, with dense tree cover and challenging dog-leg holes. Water and fairway bunkers are common, adding to the challenge.

Hole No. 1 was the easiest to birdie last year, statistically. It is a par-five selection — and then the course gets tougher from there. The bottom line is, hitting bombs out of the tee box won’t necessarily translate to major success, while being one of the most accurate drivers in the tournament certainly helps.

With Spieth entering the tournament as the favorite and playing well on day one, the next tier to keep an eye on is Collin Morikawa (+1200), Justin Thomas (+1400), and Abraham Ancer (+1600). 

Morikawa understandably has a chip on his shoulder after falling to Daniel Berger (+3000) last year in a playoff at this tournament. Both are on hand at Colonial to battle it out again at the Charles Schwab. Morikawa won earlier this year at the World Golf Championships at Bradenton, Fla., and he has five top 10s in this pandemic affected season. 

Here’s a look at some of the key players who are on hand this week:


Justin Thomas (+1400) — 2nd in FedExCup Standings

Jordan Spieth (+333) — 9th in FedExCup Standings

Billy Horschel (+5000) — 13th in FedExCup Standings

Abraham Ancer (+1600) — 15th in FedExCup Standings

Matt Jones (+20000) — Honda Classic winner in March

Phil Mickelson (+30000) — PGA Championship winner last week

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Brian McLaughlin is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of BMac and Herd’s FCS Podcast. He has written for The Sporting News, headed up the PARADE Magazine High School All America teams, covered FCS college football for HERO Sports … and covered current PGA golfer Hudson Swafford when he was a teenager at Maclay School in Florida. Follow BMac on Twitter @BrianMacWriter.