How To Bet Bryson DeChambeau Following U.S. Open Victory

min read
Bryson DeChambeau holds the trophy after winning the U.S. Open golf tournament Sunday, June 16, 2024, in Pinehurst, N.C.
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
Jason Sobel @JasonSobelGolf Jun 20, 2024, 8:04 AM
  • Bryson DeChambeau claimed his second U.S. Open title.
  • DeChambeau is currently +1100 to win the Open Championship.

In the age of streaming video at our fingertips and social media buzzing 24/7, it’s easy to become a prisoner of the moment, forgetting anything that happened more than five minutes ago. We see something, it gets ingrained into our brains and we treat it as gospel until the next big idea comes along shortly.

There are plenty of philosophical places we can go after that opening paragraph, but let’s stick with golf betting: It’s largely due to this notion that recency bias so frequently becomes a real thing for so many people.

A player triumphs at a golf tournament and it’s difficult not to think, “Well, if he plays like that every week, he’s going to win a lot more!”

Even those of us who understand the cyclical nature of this sport are guilty of such misgivings.

There is no law of averages – that’s a common misnomer – but we’ve learned that in many cases, winning doesn’t breed more winning and losing doesn’t breed more losing.

Scottie Scheffler won the Masters, has been the prohibitive favorite everywhere he’s played and was often the answer to any “Scottie or the field?” questions before last week’s U.S. Open. He finished in 41st place. Xander Schauffele repeatedly kept coming close, at both previous year’s majors and recent non-major tournaments, without ever winning. Those who believed that trend would continue certainly didn’t cash outright tickets when he claimed the PGA Championship.

All of this is simply a way of helping us understand how and why – and yes, where – we should chase this past weekend’s top player on the leaderboard, as Bryson DeChambeau won the U.S. Open for a second time.

Unless you’re betting LIV events, you’ll presumably only have one more opportunity to wager on DeChambeau this year. He is currently +1100 to win next month’s Open Championship and if you’re thinking to yourself, “I don’t even recall what he’s done in that event…” there’s good reason for that.

In six career starts, he has one top-10 – a share of eighth place at St. Andrews in 2022 – but nothing else inside the top-30 and a pair of missed cuts.

Look, I’ve often maintained that what separates the very uppermost echelon of players from the next tier is that the best of the best can win anyplace, anytime – and yes, I believe DeChambeau belongs amongst that top level. At 11/1, though, third-shortest on the board, it’s hard to be confident enough in his long hitting and better-than-you-believe short game that he’s going to replicate his Pinehurst success at Royal Troon.

If we’re looking beyond that, the next place to play Bryson for a futures wager is the Masters – and a whole lot can happen in 10 months. On a course that he once said is like a par-67 for him – a comment he has since regretted, by the way – it’s not difficult to imagine him bludgeoning his way to a green jacket, leading some to believe Augusta National needed to be Bryson-proofed, much the same way it was once theoretically Tiger-proofed.

Right now, he is +1400 to make that happen, ranking fourth-shortest on the board behind Scottie Scheffler (+500), Rory McIlroy (+1100) and Jon Rahm (+1200), though it wouldn’t be surprising if, at this current rate, DeChambeau zooms past Rahm soon enough.

He’s at least trending in the right direction, his T-6 result this year easily the best of his eight total, the first one inside the top-20.

If we really want to find some golf betting futures value for Bryson, we should perhaps look all the way ahead to next year’s PGA Championship, just a mere 47 weeks from now.

The last time Quail Hollow hosted this event, back in 2017, he finished in a share of 33rd place. And while he didn’t always play the Wells Fargo Championship, his record includes a pair of strong finishes amongst his four starts, as he was solo fourth in 2018 and tied for 21st in 2021.

Curiously, he remains at +2200 for the 2025 PGA, those odds longer than seven other players, including Scheffler (+450), McIlroy (+900), Schauffele (+1200), Viktor Hovland (+1600), Brooks Koepka (+1800), Rahm (+2000) and Ludvig Aberg (+2000).

Golf is a game of cycles and there’s plenty which can happen in a matter of weeks, let alone almost a full year. If you want to chase Bryson’s latest win, though, and you’re seeking the best combination of value and opportunity, next year’s PGA Championship easily makes the most sense. 

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About the Author

Jason Sobel

Read More @JasonSobelGolf

Jason Sobel is a Brand Ambassador for BetMGM. He joins after six years with Action Network. Prior to Action, Jason spent a total of 17 years in two stints at ESPN (1997-2011; 2015-18) and four years at Golf Channel (2011-15). He also currently works as a host for "Hitting the Green" on SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio and contributes to the channel's on-site coverage during major championships. He's won four Sports Emmy awards, more than a dozen Golf Writers Association of America accolades and has earned an honorable mention in the Best of American Sportswriting series.

Jason Sobel is a Brand Ambassador for BetMGM. He joins after six years with Action Network. Prior to Action, Jason spent a total of 17 years in two stints at ESPN (1997-2011; 2015-18) and four years at Golf Channel (2011-15). He also currently works as a host for "Hitting the Green" on SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio and contributes to the channel's on-site coverage during major championships. He's won four Sports Emmy awards, more than a dozen Golf Writers Association of America accolades and has earned an honorable mention in the Best of American Sportswriting series.