- Why Nicolai Hojgaard (+6600) could challenge for a top-10 at Augusta National.
- A case for Corey Conners (+6600) to replicate his past Augusta success.
- Maverick McNealy (+8000) posted positive stats at the Valero Texas Open.
In the last few years, golf bettors have seen long shots contend at Augusta National.
Last year, it was Justin Rose who nearly captured an elusive trophy. The prior editions brought forth Max Homa, Sahith Theegala and Sungjae Im as top-10 finishers at long shot odds.
This year, I’m eyeing three names that could contend – take that as you will – but likely won’t slip on the green jacket come Sunday.
Here are my favorite Masters sleeper picks for the tournament based on current Masters odds.
3 Best Masters Sleeper Picks for 2026
Nicolai Hojgaard (+6600)
Hojgaard will start his third Masters tournament this year. In two prior appearances, he registered a top-20 before
missing the cut the next year.
That year, Hojgaard opened with a 67. He closed with 73-74-76.
Hojgaard enters the 2026 Masters absolutely dialed with his irons. He ranks 10th in SG: APP over the last three months and spiked to +1.67 per round at Memorial Park.
It’s unlikely he rises from that benchmark. In Hojgaard’s PGA Tour career, he gained more strokes with his irons only twice.
But the Dane owns a ton of distance off the tee and has gained on approach in six of his previous seven events.
He’s made the cut in every start this season and posted three top-6 finishes. Add in that he ranks ninth in Par 5 Efficiency over the last 12 months, and I like Hojgaard’s profile this week.
Corey Conners (+6600)
Conners arrives at a historically strong course trending in the right direction.
The Canadian posted a pair of top-14 finishes in his last two starts. Over his first five starts of the year, he never cracked the top-20.
Coinciding with the change in results is wildly improved iron play. He gained +1.92 SG: APP at the Sony Open before losing strokes on approach in three straight events.
In his last three starts: +0.93 at Bay Hill, +1.51 at TPC Sawgrass and +1.3 at the Valspar.
Conners also owns a brilliant course history at Augusta National. Since 2021, Conners has posted three top-10 finishes in five Augusta appearances.
Most encouraging is that Conners gained strokes ball striking in every appearance since ‘21.
If he continues his ball-striking performances of late, watch out for Conners atop the leaderboard.
Maverick McNealy (+8000)
McNealy FINALLY showed signs of life with his irons last week at TPC San Antonio.
After losing strokes on approach in three straight events, McNealy gained +0.02 last week.
Hidden within that overall rating is the fact that McNealy recorded +1.05 and +1.47 SG: APP over the weekend.
McNealy finished as the runner-up last year at the Genesis when Torrey Pines hosted the event. He also owns a top-10 at Riviera in 2022, another correlative setup to Augusta National.
The Stanford alum impressed in his Masters debut last year. At lofty odds, he finished T-32nd while ranking 16th in SG: T2G.
He also played the Par 5s very well in 2025. Last year, McNealy finished -8 on those 16 holes compared to +9 everywhere else.
Over the last 12 months, McNealy ranks 16th in Par 5 Efficiency. If he learns from his debut and continues to excel on the Par 5s, McNealy could surprise at 80/1 odds.
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