- Scottie Scheffler (+300) is the favorite to win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
- I predict Russell Henley (+2800) contends for a second straight year.
- Why Justin Rose (+2800) offers high upside at Pebble Beach.
The first signature event for 2026 features an 80-player field in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
Current golf odds at BetMGM have Scottie Scheffler (+300) priced as the prohibitive favorite. Defending champion Rory McIlroy follows Scheffler at +1200 before a sizable drop to Si Woo Kim (+2200).
Chris Gotterup, a two-time winner already this year, arrives at +3300. Including Gotterup, oddsmakers price 12 players between +2200 and +3500.
Let’s dive into the selections. Prices are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement.
Best Golf Picks for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Russell Henley (+2800)
Henley showed last year at the Arnold Palmer that he can contend in a strong field. At Pebble Beach, he should see his best skill rewarded frequently.
Pebble Beach – which hosts three of four rounds this week – puts an emphasis on playing from the fairway and outstanding iron play to the smallest greens on Tour.
Over his last 50 rounds, Henley leads the field in driving accuracy on “less than driver” setups. He also ranks sixth in SG: APP over his last 50 rounds and fifth over his last 20.
Approaching small greens, the Georgia alum ranks sixth and 14th over his last 50 and 20 rounds, respectively.
Last year, Henley finished T-5th at this event. That placement is indicative of his success on short courses.
Over the last two years, Henley ranks fifth in SG: TOT on “short” or “very short” courses. Overall, he ranks second in my mixed-condition model to Scheffler, so I like the price on Henley.
Justin Rose (+2800)
The price leaves a little bit to be desired on Rose. After all, the consensus price for Rose’s Farmers Insurance win closed in the mid-60s.
Now bettors are seeing his odds shorten in a strong field. However, previous performances indicate Rose could contend again in California.
Rose won here in 2023 and placed T-3rd last year behind McIlroy and Shane Lowry. Last year, he gained for the week in every underlying metric.
Bettors also saw Rose earn a win at TPC Southwind last August. The course offers a similarity to Pebble Beach in that greens measure significantly below Tour average.
That week, Rose gained 5.7 strokes on approach, good for eighth in the field. At the Farmers, he gained just over 6.5 strokes on approach for the week.
Lastly, Rose previously showed comfort putting on California Poa greens. Since 2022, Rose has played 11 California events and gained strokes putting on Poa nine times.
Given those factors, I predict Rose – at minimum – outperforms his market expectation this week.
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