The Wyndham Championship, the event before the FedEx Cup playoffs, takes place at Sedgefield Country Club.
It’s the second straight stop at a Donald Ross design after last week in Detroit. Golf odds price Cameron Young (+900), the defending champion, as the favorite this week.
Other favorites to win include Jackson Koivun (+2000), Justin Thomas (+2800) and Ben Griffin (+2800).
Let’s dive into the predictions for this week. Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement.
Best Golf Picks for the Wyndham Championship
Hideki Matsuyama (+2800) | Top-20 Finish + Ties (+115)
The Masters champion arrives at Sedgefield riding consecutive top-5 finishes. Over his last four events, Matsuyama finished no worse than T-14th in any outing.
Trusting Matsuyama to spike with his putter at a birdie fest is somewhat difficult. But his recent approach play offers enough confidence that he could go low this week.
Matsuyama spiked to +1 SG: APP or better at the eighth-highest rate over his last 50 rounds. He also spiked to 2+ SG: APP at the 21st-highest rate over the same period.
His +1.85 SG: APP output in Detroit marked his best output of the season. It also marked a sizable reversal from his -0.66 output at TPC Twin Cities.
In Detroit, he cleared +1.9 SG: APP three times. While he lost strokes putting for the entire tournament, he finished north of +0.7 over the weekend, including +2.1 on Sunday.
Pair those metrics with three top-19s in seven starts at Sedgefield, and I predict Matsuyama earns a win heading into the playoffs.
Keegan Bradley (+4500) | Top-20 Finish + Ties (+188)
Bradley showed signs of life with his irons in Detroit, spiking to +1.42 SG: APP. It’s a bit misleading, however, as he spiked to +4.02 on Thursday and +3.49 on Friday.
Problems arose on Saturday as he lost 2.29 strokes with his irons.
Still, I remain encouraged on the spike potential. Bradley leads this field in scoring opportunities inside 10 feet over the last 16 rounds vs. 52nd for the entire 2026 season.
Additionally, not since the Cadillac Championship has Bradley lost strokes on approach over an entire event. He also spiked to 2+ SG: APP at the seventh-highest rate over the last 50 rounds.
Recently, Bradley recorded strong approach metrics at TPC River Highlands, a comparable setup. He averaged +0.96 SG: APP, but cleared 2+ in two rounds.
He also owns a runner-up finish at Colonial last year, another comparable setup to Sedgefield.
Those factors, along with encouraging underlying data, lead me to predict Bradley wins at a higher rate than his odds suggest.
Alex Fitzpatrick (+5000) | Top-20 Finish + Ties (+188)
The younger Fitzpatrick struggled across the pond. However, he maintained his strong iron play in the process, losing ground to the field with a weak putter.
Fitzpatrick gained strokes on approach in each of his last six events. Over the last 50 measured rounds, he spiked to +1 SG: APP or better at the second-highest rate in the field.
The sample includes a +1.38 SG: APP output at TPC River Highlands. While shorter than Sedgefield, both courses offer penal rough off the tee and small approach landing areas.
Over four rounds in Cromwell, Fitzpatrick finished north of +1.4 SG: APP three times. He also finished as a plus putter in three of four rounds, losing over two on Thursday.
While the extremely negative putting rounds remain a concern, Fitzpatrick showed potential with his flat stick.
He gained putting at the Memorial (+0.15 average) and RBC Canadian Open (+0.69 average). Over the last 28 rounds, he cleared +1.5 SG: Putting five times.
If the putter holds up and the ball-striking continues, I like the number on a player with four top-10 finishes already this season.
Billy Horschel Top-20 Finish + Ties (+280)
Horschel has missed four of his last six cuts with two top-20s along the path. But he heads to a course where he produced some of his best results on Tour.
Dating back to the 2015 Wyndham Championship, Horschel played at Sedgefield CC nine times. He finished 20th or better in six of those nine starts, including five of the last six.
A missed cut in Detroit looks potentially discouraging. However, Horschel put together some of the best approach numbers in the field before the failure.
Over the last 50 rounds, the Florida alum spiked to 2+ SG: APP at the field’s fifth-highest rate. He also cleared 1+ at the 20th-highest rate in the field.
That includes a sample where Horschel posted some horrific metrics. His best approach play came recently as his SG: APP average rose to +0.93 over his last six events.
In the six prior events to that run, Horschel gained strokes on approach only once.
At a course that has treated him well during his career, Horschel offers greater upside than these odds indicate.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
