RBC Heritage Sleeper Picks: 3 Longshots Capable of Contending

Brian Harman hugs the trophy after winning the Valero Texas Open golf tournament at TPC San Antonio, Sunday, April 6, 2025, in San Antonio.
(AP Photo/Michael Thomas)
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  • Brian Harman (+6600) offers a strong course history at Harbour Town.
  • Why Wyndham Clark (+8000) could replicate his 2024 performance at this event.
  • A case for Nick Taylor (+10000) to overcome his Harbour Town history.

Before the RBC Heritage became a PGA Tour signature event, the course opened itself to longshot winners. 

Stewart Cink went off at 125-1 to win in 2021, with two additional triple-digit outright winners in 2018 and 2019. 

Recently, shorter shots have contended. Matt Fitzpatrick (28-1) won in 2023 while Scottie Scheffler (+400) won in 2024. Last year, Justin Thomas went off at 20-1 to win. 

Still, it’s my belief that a couple longshots are capable of contending this week. Here’s a look at my RBC Heritage sleeper picks based on current golf odds.

3 Best RBC Heritage Sleeper Picks for 2026

Brian Harman (+6600)

Harman owns elite course history at Harbour Town, even after it became a signature event. 

He finished T-3rd here last year after placing T-12th in 2024. In 2023 – before the event transitioned to signature status – Harman finished T-7th. 

Earlier this year, Harman recorded his best SG: APP output at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Over three rounds at Pebble, Harman averaged +1.31 SG: APP per round. 

Save for a brutal opening round, Harman recovered nicely with his irons at Augusta National. 

After losing 2.2 on approach in round one, he gained +0.99 per round over his final three. If that continues at Harbour Town, watch out for Harman to contend again. 

Wyndham Clark (+8000)

Clark has quietly put together strong iron play of late. Prior to the Masters, Clark spiked to +0.9 SG: APP per round or better in four of five starts. 

That record even continued early at Augusta National. Last Thursday and Friday, Clark gained +0.9 and +2.4 SG: APP at the Masters. 

Clark also put together a strong iron game at Pebble Beach. For the February event, he gained +1.12 SG: APP per round, including +1.44 in his three rounds at Pebble Beach. 

In 2024, Clark finished T-3rd at the RBC Heritage. Over the last three years, he never finished outside the top-30 at this event. 

If there’s a concern, it’s that Clark achieved those results with his putter. Of his 9.88 strokes gained since 2024, he gained 71% of those with his putter. 

But if the iron play from this year continues, Clark could prove a dark horse at a familiar course. 

Nick Taylor (+10000)

Taylor lacks meaningful course history at Harbour Town. In fact, he recorded his best finish all the way back in 2017 (T-22). 

That being said, a case exists for Taylor at his market price. His best iron performance of the season came at Pebble Beach (+1.23 per round, including +1.76 in three Pebble rounds). 

He briefly showed some life with the irons last week, too. In his opening round, Taylor spiked to +2.2 SG: APP while hitting 78% of greens at Augusta National. 

Taylor progressively posted worse numbers as the tournament progressed. However, it remains potentially encouraging that the Canadian retains spike potential. 

By losing -0.04 SG: APP at Augusta, Taylor saw a seven-event SG: APP gain streak end. Plus, Taylor previously won the Pebble Beach Pro-Am in 2020 at another Dye design. 

The Harbour Town course history remains a big concern, but don’t be shocked if Taylor plays well this week. 

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About the Author Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.